Premiums, 4.17

567

 

Pretty good day last night, unfortunate that the DEN/GS went over because that game was moving real slow in the 2nd QTR and 3rd QTR. Ah well. Things are moving fast this Easter morning so these write ups won’t be as detailed. I’ll try to answer questions, if you have any, this afternoon, but please be patient – have family over, etc. Here are the picks:

NBA Picks:
  • Parlay: Heat win 1Q, 1Q under 56.5, 1 unit to win 1.94 units
    • The Heat have a significant rest advantage and they’ll be ready to lock down their opponent. Miami moves slow, and this should be a battle in the paint. Miami probably has to catch a rhythm too.
  • BKL/BOS under 224.5, 1.5 units
    • This has under written all over it for me. The Celtics will NEED to assert themselves and slow this game down to win it, and even though Brooklyn has obvious offensive brilliance on their squad, few places are more challenging than TD Garden to maintain offensive efficiency. This will be a testy battle throughout, love the under.
  • Bucks 1H -6.5, 1.5 units and 
  • Suns -6.5, 1 unit
    • There’s not much nuance in these picks. I think both the Bucks and Suns, both of whom are superior in every way against today’s opponent, want to start off hot, at home, and they overwhelm them in the 1H.
MLB Picks:
  • NYY/BAL over 8.5, 1 unit to win 1 unit
    • I’m just not sure why this number is so low. Baltimore is historically feisty with the Yankees and these aren’t pitchers we trust.
  • Cubs ML, 1 unit to win 1.07
    • Are the Rockies a formidable team this year? I hope so, I like that venue in Denver and I’ve always thought they’d be a cool team to cheer for. Can’t take them today with the inferior pitcher, though. Cubs bats are due to awaken.
 
If you ever have any questions, message me here, on Twitter, or on Instagram. I will make myself available from 9am to 5pm every day, but please don’t expect an answer outside of those hours. I gotta shut it down sometimes. All picks are 1-5 stars based on unit size and confidence. 3 star picks are rare, 4-5 star picks are VERY rare. All plays listed are TO WIN that amount. In other words, if I say Bucks -3 for 1 unit, we’re betting 1.1 units at -110 or 1.15 units at -115 to win 1 unit. 
 
Always appreciate all of you! -Chris