Happy Monday, peeps!
Another instance where it’d be hard to complain about our NBA results, going 3-1 with the winning parlay Sunday. I’ll keep asking for your patience since this is “moving week” for my family and I; write ups may be shorter in that respect, but as you know I keep my DMs open so feel free to ask Qs any time. Onto the picks!
NBA Picks:
- Raptors +7.5, 1.5 units and
- Nuggets +7, 1.5 units
- Both the 76ers and Warriors had a fantastic start to their series. Literally everything bounced their way, and their shooting percentages from the field and from beyond the arc were objectively absurd. In the playoffs, that usually doesn’t continue. The Raptors are too well-coached and Jokic is too talented to allow the same thing to happen again. I’m betting that both underdogs, who are still very live to win these series, show up big tonight. Think about this – how tremendous would it be for Toronto and Denver if they won game 2 and tied the series, knowing they’re returning home for 2 straight games? That’d be absolutely massive. They’ll fight very hard to make that a reality tonight, since going down 0-2 is something they’ll desperately want to avoid.
- Raptors/76ers 1H under 112, 1 unit and
- Nuggets/Warriors 1H under 115, 1 unit
- Well if I like the underdogs to come out fiery and motivated, I have to like these first half unders. Denver and Toronto aren’t their best going toe-to-toe with the superior shooters of their opponent. The front court length of Toronto and the tenacity of Denver’s guards can make life difficult for their foes and I think we see the best version of those defenses early. And it ain’t like Philly and Golden State are schleps on defense, either. Probably wouldn’t be a bad idea to correlate some of these picks into small parlays, if you have the bankroll. Since I project these games to be a battle early with more pressure than usual, I like both 1H unders to win 1 unit each.
MLB Picks:
- MIN/BOS over 8.5, 1.15 units to win 1 unit
- Two very hittable pitchers take the mound in an early game in Boston. This over is juiced for a reason and Minnesota’s bats are way overdue for an explosion. I like points in this contest.
- Dodgers -1.5, 1.15 units to win 1 unit
- This is a really tough spot for the Braves, off a late Sunday highlight game on the road, to now travel to LAD and face their ace. All Dodgers for me who, it turns out, are still pretty damn elite.
If you ever have any questions, message me here, on Twitter, or on Instagram. I will make myself available from 9am to 5pm every day, but please don’t expect an answer outside of those hours. I gotta shut it down sometimes. All picks are 1-5 stars based on unit size and confidence. 3 star picks are rare, 4-5 star picks are VERY rare. All plays listed are TO WIN that amount. In other words, if I say Bucks -3 for 1 unit, we’re betting 1.1 units at -110 or 1.15 units at -115 to win 1 unit.
Always appreciate all of you! -Chris
