MLB loves a tie for us, but we were + units overall. Montreal and Edmonton scored way more than I thought but Edmonton covered, 1-1 there. And we hit another WNBA pick. Onto Friday!
For those of you who might not have seen my announcement on Twitter, I’ve signed with the 33rd Team as their Head of Betting. This will NOT affect my premium pick selling in any negative way, but it WILL provide me with rare insider NFL content that could only help my NFL plays. The 33rd team is run by two previous NFL team owners – Mike Tannenbaum and Joe Banner – and they have former players, GMs, and coaches who write and contribute to their content. Pretty amazing stuff, I feel very grateful, and kudos to those of you who already signed up for the full NFL season with me! Seems smart!
MLB Picks:
Marlins/Phillies under 7 (-120), to win 1 unit
A great setup for an under, Alcantara leads a subpar offense into another game that he’ll likely have to hold on his shoulders if he wants his squad to win. Gibson is up and down but overall a winner and has plenty of stuff to limit Miami’s offense.
Braves/Nationals over 9.5 (-105), to win 1 unit
Something about Atlanta vs. DC always feels like over-city and while the Braves just finished a challenging series against a much better offense in NYM, they might let their guard down against a Nationals team that can still slug. Don’t be surprised if Washington wins a few in this series — an over is the play today.
Orioles +114, to win 1.5 units
I’m going to bet against Baltimore right now? Psh! Wells has stepped up well, see what I did there, and I can’t play off this aggressive Orioles team who’s increasingly more confident and less intimidated by top-tier teams every night. Also Patino is very unproven, tough spot for the young man. I’m on the O’s cuz why wouldn’t I be?
Rockies -1.5 (+125), to win 1.25 units
German Marquez’s marks are down this year but his xERA tells us he’s experienced some bad luck. The Rockies at home, on a 3-game winning streak where they scored 23 runs in that span, against a Pittsburgh squad that struggles scoring even in advantageous environments… I’ll take Colorado by margin.
CFL Picks:
Calgary vs. Winnipeg (-3), Friday
Total over 48.5 (-105), to win 1 unit
Total over 47.5, (-110), to win 1.5 units
Two of the most explosive offenses in the CFL, Winnipeg is the favorite to win it all for good reason, even though a lot of that is because of their defense. Calgary would love to challenge that Friday. The Blue Bombers are capable of sticking with any team and it’s likely that the Stampeders will show up big time on the ground. Calgary’s Ka’Deem Carey is one of the best rushers in Canada and if the away team can punch Winnipeg in the mouth early and open up the pass, points won’t be limited in this contest. Like the over.
Saskatchewan vs. Toronto (+2.5), Saturday
Toronto Argonauts +2.5 (-110), to win 1.5 units
This line has moved down in Toronto’s favor and I agree with the movement. Toronto can look like a formidable team at home– that’s where they won one game and kept it very close against the league-best Winnipeg, losing to the Blue Bombers by only 1 point. But that doesn’t mean that should be the norm. Or does it? At first glance the Toronto offense appears very pedestrian. Check the stats and they’re a bottom tier team in most categories. Look deeper and you’ll see that in other stats that matter, like yards per play, they can keep games close when they’re in a favorable spot. Saskatchewan is a good outfit but this is a sleepy contest for them and they’re not as good on the road. I’ll take a desperate Argonauts squad to keep this within distance or win.
WNBA Pick:
Lynx -3.5 (-110), to win 1 unit
The Lynx are chasing the playoffs and have plenty to play for. After a disappointing loss last night, tonight’s road game against Indiana is a really tough spot but I have to keep fading the home team. Indiana looked lifeless in their last contest and although Minnesota should be tired, the margin for error is too small to let a game they should win get away from them. Lynx cover and then get some well-deserved rest.
All plays are on a 1-5 unit scale, with 3-5 unit plays being very rare. If you have any questions, please DM me or email me any time before 7:00pm. Thanks team!
