Well I went to bed last night pretty certain that we would go 3-0 in our WNBA picks, and then that little thing called variance hit. Our TT was 1 point over and our full game total was only 1 point over on our UNDER plays in the Indiana/LA game. Yay!
Still though, feels like we’re gaining a nice grasp of the woman’s association. Many of you could probably give two fucks about watching the WNBA and I can’t say I watch any either. Still, there’s plenty to expose in a less nuanced market and money is money; expect more picks in other sports than MLB as we lead up to the NFL season.
WNBA Picks:
Chicago Sky -2.5 (-110), to win 1.5 units
Both Seattle and Chicago are both on tears right now, each winning 4 straight games and both by impressive margins in most of those contests. The Storm have won their last 4 games by an average of 21 pts, the Sky by an average of 11.25 pts. Of course the Storm faced Indiana, the WNBA’s worst, twice in that span, and the Sky had the most impressive win in a 15 point squashing of the Dream. In any case, these two played their lone battle in Seattle back on May 18th and the Sky fell to the Storm in a close battle. Another revenge spot, and an opportunity to bet on the better offense and rebounding team, at home. I’ll take the Sky to get their payback at noon.
CFL Picks, Week 7:
Ottawa Redblacks ML +125, to win 1.25 units (7.21)
Let’s take a shot on Ottawa. Both of these teams suck, but Montreal already got a win this season and Ottawa has not. Ottawa is at home, Montreal is winless on the road, and Ottawa is a better offensive team than the Alhouettes in most categories – they just need to take better advantage of opportunities. This is probably a game circled on the Redblacks calendar because it’s an actual, winnable opportunity and I think they finally get a W.
Hamilton/BC over 51.5 (-110), to win 1 unit
BC Lions TT over 29.5 (-105), to win 1.5 units (7.21)
A slight uptick in this total already but we think it could climb even more. BC owns the CFL’s best offense, averaging nearly 40 ppg, and there’s little evidence to believe that Hamilton can prevent the home team from continuing their dominance. Both teams are very skilled in their respective passing games and this should push the total up even more.
Winnipeg -7 (-115), to win 1.5 units (7.22)
This line came out at -4.5 and it completely befuddled me. I should have taken advantage of that immediately but I hesitated and wondered if there’s something I didn’t understand yet about the CFL market. I’m sure there’s still plenty to learn, but not in this case. Predictably, the Blue Bombers almost immediately rose to -7 and that’s where it currently sits. I’m sorry we didn’t get the best line but to be honest, this should NOT be close. The CFL’s best unit against the CFL’s worst unit, who’s showing fewer and fewer signs that they’re interested in playing competitive football. Not overthinking it anymore – Winnipeg slaughters Edmonton. PS – Winnipeg is also 3-0 on the road this season.
All plays are on a 1-5 unit scale, with 3-5 unit plays being very rare. If you have any questions, please DM me or email me any time before 7:00pm. Thanks team!
