Premiums, 7.21

What’s up all! WNBA continues to heat up, we’re now 7-4 for +3.6 units. We won’t have the same success as the NBA, but it’s nice to see we can use some comparative methods.

Onto Thursday, and MLB is back!…. insert sarcastic “yay!” Onto the picks:

The first game is listed at 7 and juiced at -120, the second is at 7.5 and juiced at -110. Both contests features, well, the Athletics, who aren;’t exactly a scoring machine, and the pitchers listed should be able to easily contain these two pedestrian lineups.

Remember when the Giants caught fire and went on a tear last season after the All-Star break? Then they shocked everyone and ended up winning the NL West with 107 wins. That ain’t gonna happen this year, but I like the same narrative to start tonight. SF still has a ton of great pitching and arguably their best is on the mound tonight. Against LAD, who might be “at home” a little too long and more likely to get caught sleeping, I like the Giants to take game 1 of this series.

The Liberty have owned this series against the Mystics, and that’s true this year, too. Two of the lowest scoring teams in the association, combined with Sabrina and the Liberty’s confidence against DC, I’ll take the Liberty as dogs on the road.

Let’s take a shot on Ottawa. Both of these teams suck, but Montreal already got a win this season and Ottawa has not. Ottawa is at home, Montreal is winless on the road, and Ottawa is a better offensive team than the Alhouettes in most categories – they just need to take better advantage of opportunities. This is probably a game circled on the Redblacks calendar because it’s an actual, winnable opportunity and I think they finally get a W.

A slight uptick in this total already but we think it could climb even more. BC owns the CFL’s best offense, averaging nearly 40 ppg, and there’s little evidence to believe that Hamilton can prevent the home team from continuing their dominance. Both teams are very skilled in their respective passing games and this should push the total up even more.

This line came out at -4.5 and it completely befuddled me. I should have taken advantage of that immediately but I hesitated and wondered if there’s something I didn’t understand yet about the CFL market. I’m sure there’s still plenty to learn, but not in this case. Predictably, the Blue Bombers almost immediately rose to -7 and that’s where it currently sits. I’m sorry we didn’t get the best line but to be honest, this should NOT be close. The CFL’s best unit against the CFL’s worst unit, who’s showing fewer and fewer signs that they’re interested in playing competitive football. Not overthinking it anymore – Winnipeg slaughters Edmonton. PS – Winnipeg is also 3-0 on the road this season.