Premiums, 7.24

Profitable day in MLB, frustrating ending to a UFC card that we had some fucking great bets in, and a stellar finish to our 4-day-parlay. I know it sounds braggadocios but I’m telling you, when I give out a parlay over a longer period of time, it’s a good idea to take it. Those are the ones we usually do really well with.

In other news, some more thoughts about the survey:

• I appreciate that you all enjoy my write-ups and feel that the length and style is done well.
• To the 25% who think the cursing is too much, you do realize you’re receiving emails from a gambler about gambling your own money, right? This stuff ain’t exactly for choir boys and gals. Just saying. But since some of you don’t love it, I’ll tone it down a notch… sometimes. =)
• I’m going to try my best to filter picks better and provide a smaller card if I have any level of substantial uncertainty.

Well the Jays are absolutely dominating the Sox and today Boston’s pitching won’t help. I’m a little concerned about regression but I’m more confident that Boston has given up on this season. The Blue Jays are lethal when they have an elite pitcher on the mound and Stripling (3.03 ERA, 1.08 WHIP over 74 innings) should be able to contain the home team’s lineup while the Jays’ bats stay hot.

If there’s any series that’s due negative regression in runs, it’s today’s final battle between the Guardians and White Sox. Bieber has come into his own, allowing 3 or less runs in 10 of his last 11 starts. Dylan Cease is clearly Chicago’s ace and he’s been even better, permitting 1 run or less in his last 7 starts on the mound. Love the under today, two great pitchers who can command and prevent two pedestrian offenses from their streaks.

I’m going to choose N. Cortes and C. Kershaw over the Baltimore and SF pitchers today 10 times out of 10, especially with the power and momentum of the favorites. NYY dropped yesterday’s contest; makes me like this even more.

We’ve played on the Atlanta Dream before in these spots and we’ll do it again today. I think Seattle will win today’s game but they’ve been very underwhelming. The Dream still have a shot at making the playoffs, while the Storm are comfortably in 2nd in their conference and it’s very unlikely they won’t earn a bid. Atlanta has won in tougher spots, notably at Las Vegas and Phoenix, and the Storm are riding a routine of only beating up on inferior programs. Seattle’s last 5 wins: Fever, Wings, Sparks, Fever, Fever. ZZzzZzZz. The Dream can keep this close throughout.