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Not a great baseball card and not a lot of prominent sports otherwise – light day.

The Reds are a more formidable outfit the second half of the season and while we know they prefer to win and score at home, there are just too many injuries on both sides to like an over in this contest. Miami’s Chisholm Jr. (1 HRs, 45 RBI) and Cooper (.279 average, .347 OBP) should both be out today, and the Reds continue to have a host of lineup changes due to ongoing illness/injuries to the core of their offense. Trevor Rogers and Nick Nodolo won’t scare any hitters away, but Nodolo’s 4.38 xERA and Rogers’ potential to whip out an ace-like performance at any given time, despite his down year, are all more reasons to believe that these two lineups will struggle. Like the under quite a bit.

I know I know, the Rockies away from home blah blah, the splits blah blah, but here’s what’s also blah blah – the Milwaukee offense. Few pitchers have been more underwhelming than Kyle Freeland in his career with Colorado. Barring his 2018 season, where he was sensational, Freeland has always been a 5.00 ERA guy who struggles with consistency and velocity. But I don’t mind his profile today against the Brewers. Milwaukee depends on big slugs and HRs to stay afloat, and they’re a top 10 offense in those categories. They’re a bottom 3rd offense in batting average and BABIP, however. Freeland has the best HR allowance rate (1.06/9 innings) since 2018 and I think he could find some success today against a Brewers squad that’s probably getting a little overconfident. And it’s not like Aaron Ashby’s numbers are impressive, either. I’ll take a shot on the Rockies to eke out a win and avoid the sweep tonight.

The Giants need a win and this is a great setup for it. Tyler Gilbert has been atrocious in 30 innings and his marks say he’s gotten lucky quite a bit – scary combo. A 6.76 xERA, the lack of strength in his 89 mph four-seam and a HR allowance rate of 2.08/9 innings should open plenty of doors for a SF team that just got humbled against their arch-rival in LA. Jakob Junis has been very steady in 50 innings for the Giants, and his 83% LOB rate should come in handy against a Diamondbacks team that’s ranked at the bottom of the league in batting average and wOBA. Good time to bet on the Giants.

If you can find this game at your book (it’s at Bovada, don’t see it at BetOnline, but I wonder if US based sportsbooks show it), you’ll see an astronomical line of -48.5 in favor of the away team Sportiva Italiana. The favorite smashed Arabe 93-65 in their last contest, which actually makes me want to chase the dog a little in this one, but the better play is the over. Sportiva is a scoring machine, averaging 88 ppg in 8 straight victories. Sportiva can score at will but that’s especially true against the pedestrian defense of Arabe. All we need the dog to score is 60 total points if Sportiva snags at least 88 points, their average, and this should be an easy over. If you look at the patterns of these two teams, I like these odds enough to bet 1.5 units on it.