Premiums, 8.2

Added a WNBA Pick and some MLB picks today because they make too much sense. I’ll cherry pick here and there, but  they’re just leans officially.

The Astros aren’t going to lose again, at home, with Javier on the mound.

Spencer Howard usually means runs will be a-plenty, the Orioles’ bats continue to look ablaze, and Jordan Lyles is Baltimore’s more vulnerable pitcher.

You can still find both of these lines at many books but grab them now, they’re on the move. Sabrina Ionescu has been sensational for the Liberty, stimulating their offense with 16 assists in their last contest. New York has covered six of its last 9 games at home and they’re in a nice rhythm offensively. Something’s wrong in LA with the Sparks, maybe it’s still the Cambage-effect, and neither team has anything great to speak of defensively. The Liberty are one of the best ball movement teams in the association and their 3-point efficiency should be too much for the Sparks at home. Like the Liberty, like the over.

Thinking this one over more, but here’s the thing: The Aces have been coasting lately, and good for them, but the Washington Mystics are NOT afraid of this team. They’re 2-0 against them this year, both in games where they rallied in the 2nd half, and their defense has been stellar lately. Idk, kind of want to take the ML on the home dog. Instead we’ll just take the home dog with the points. Like we said, the Mystics have been sensational lately, beating good teams with superior play on both sides of the floor. The Aces have been coasting – eventually that needs to change.

The Montreal Alhouettes are a tough team to figure out, but Winnipeg is not. The Blue Bombers are proving every week that they’re the best team in this league and it’s not even close. Winners of the CFL’s last two titles, the Blue Bombers proved how amazingly resilient they are when they went to Calgary and still bested the CFL’s best team of yesterday. Calgary was either the Grey Cup champion or the runner-up for year’s on end but Winnipeg has officially taken over. Not only did they win last week, they dominated the entire game, and a huge part of that is their defense. Montreal really struggles to stop anyone with their defense. I know this is a big game for them, at home, but I can’t not pick the Bombers for under a TD. Only 1 unit out of respect for variance in a spot that’s not ideal.

Speaking of the Stampeders, this is a big response game for them. The Bombers stifled their offense throughout last week’s big contest but make no mistake, they’re a potent attack, especially in their run game. Ottawa might have their guard down a bit after a nice win, but their run-defense is at the bottom of the league; not a good thing against a mad Calgary team who likes to run it down opponent’s throats. The Stampeders do just that; stampede over the Redblacks and control this game.