Premiums, April 2

300

 

Big day and I’m sick of talking – let’s get some fucking wins.

NBA Picks:
  • Hornets +5.5, 1.5 units
    • Doc Rivers is starting to point fingers, or maybe just one big finger at James Harden, while the Sixers attempt to figure out their issues. The Hornets are surging again, with big offense and an aggressive attack at the rim. The Hornets have played Philly close all year – add this one to the list.
  • Cavs/Knicks over 215.5, 2 units
    • Julius Randle out for the Knicks means more speed and perimeter shooting. Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley out for the Cavs means a guard predicated, faster-paced style. I have this game at 225 – I think this total is WAY too low.
  • Warriors ML (+105, 1 unit to win 1.05)
    • The Warriors are playing hard and they’re in real danger of falling in the Western Conference. I don’t like what I’m seeing from the Jazz. I mean, they let a shallow Lakers squad hang in a recent game. I’m taking a shot on Golden State.
  • Lean, Heat -3
    • The Heat are a much better team than the Bulls but this is a tough spot with a B2B coming tomorrow.
NCAAM Picks:
  • Kansas -4, 1.5 units
    • Villanova will try to slow this down, but like we saw last weekend vs. Miami, the Kansas offense can overwhelm opponents quick with their length in the front court and exceptional shooting. It’ll be too much for the WIldcats.
  • North Carolina +4, 2 units
    • How can I not double down on the dog in this contest? I would take the point either way – this should come down to the end.
If you ever have any questions, message me here, on Twitter, or on Instagram. I will make myself available from 9am to 5pm every day, but please don’t expect an answer outside of those hours. I gotta shut it down sometimes. All picks are 1-5 stars based on unit size and confidence. 3 star picks are rare, 4-5 star picks are VERY rare. All plays listed are TO WIN that amount. In other words, if I say Bucks -3 for 1 unit, we’re betting 1.1 units at -110 or 1.15 units at -115 to win 1 unit. 
 
Always appreciate all of you! -Chris