CFB is off to a rocky start but we’re transparent about it — I never called myself an expert in CFB and I spend WAY more time handicapping the NFL. If you go elsewhere for your picks, honestly I wouldn’t blame you. You’re paying for my NFL and NBA, which is smart, but there are excellent cappers like Kyle Hunter, Nick Hub, and Kiev O’Neill that can help you win bets, too. Plus there are free picks at the OB on the regular.
Still, because I do cap it, I’ll share my CFB every week. We’ll reduce unit size and express more caution when taking these. Express NO caution with NFL and NBA. 😉 Onto the picks:
CFB Week 3 Picks (11-11-2, -1.70 units):
Florida State -3 (-107), to win 1 unit
Rivalry game, sure, but Florida State was impressive out the gate and I don’t think this flailing version of Louisville can do much against the Seminole defense.
Connecticut/Michigan under 60 (-110), to win 0.5 units
Classic game where the Wolverines pulverize a shitty team and their defense eats up stats for the entire second half. Harbaugh has been conservative many times in these cases before.
Nebraska +11 (-110), to win 1 unit
Steve thinks Nebraska is a live dog here and I don’t disagree. After finally firing Scott Frost, teams usually get up with a different fire. Oklahoma has faced shit teams thus far and we really don’t know how capable they are, while their defense is likely (Big-12!) to be typically soft. Like the Huskers here.
UCLA -15.5 (-110), to win 1 unit
Nice redemption spot for UCLA after they were humbled by USC. They’re still in a different class than South Alabama. Blowout potential at home.
Auburn +3 (-115), to win 1.5 units
Don’t believe in PSU, DO believe in Auburn’s defense. At home, SEC, they should keep this close and I have them winning. I get it’s their first test but PSU coming off a big Purdue win and overconfident — hate that for that Nittany Lions. Gotta take a +3.
SMU/Maryland over 74 (-113), to win 1 unit
Didn’t get the best number here but when it goes this high, it’s for a reason. No defense and all offense and pace — this should be a game where both teams get near 40.
UTSA +12.5 (-112), to win 0.8 units
UTSA is formidable enough to stay in this contest, especially if Texas reacts like Notre Dame reacted after their big showdown loss. Sleepy spot for Texas and UTSA will GET UP for this — taking the dog.
USC -12.5 (-105), to win 1 unit
Like I said, I think the Trojans are the real deal and a program that will only get sharper as the season goes on. At home and clearly coached up well, this is another game with blowout potential.
