What’s up people! Amped for this Saturday! We have big time conference games in college basketball, a nice NBA slate with plenty of value, and a big-time UFC card that your boy will DEFINITELY be ordering while I scarf down various snacks that are probably killing my body. YOLO am I right?
Onto the picks!
NBA Picks:
- Mavericks -7.5, 1 unit
- Dallas is feeling themselves right now, they’re at home, and the Kings just got a rare victory and they probably think they’re pretty good on defense now. What a joke. Doncic and the Mavs smash Sacramento here.
- Lean, Heat
- Great spot for the Heat against a Philly team that’s only seen good results lately. If Jimmy plays, I love Miami here.
- Grizzlies TT over 123.5, 1.5 units
- Inflated for a reason, how do you think Orlando’s defense will feel after Memphis’ faced Boston 2 nights ago (and still dropped 107 on them, by the way)? I expect the Grizzlies to go OFF at home. Their line at -15.5 is a little much, but I wouldn’t be surprised if they covered that either.
- Timberwolves -13, 1 unit
- Another ugly line but I give the Blazers virtually no chance to win this game without Nurkic. KAT is playing phenomenal basketball and Anthony Edwards might return for this one. If Portland covers, it’s only because Anfernee Simons does something other-wordly. Expect the Wolves to keep rollin’.
- Warriors -5.5, 3 units
- Time to fade the Lakers and fade them hard. This team has given up, in more ways than one, following the lead of LeBron and his off-the-court words and actions. The Warriors, on the other hand, are looking to get-right, Klay should be back, and this is a perfect chance for them to flex on both sides of the court. A rare 3 unit play for me – but I’m confident in this one. PSA: Anything can happen, the Lakers can play the perfect game and win at home. But the probabilities? I have it as considerably high that Golden State covers this number. My number is -9.
CBB Picks:
- Alabama +4, 1 unit
- UVA -4, 1 unit
- Pittsburgh +12.5, 1 unit
- Weber State -5.5, 1 unit
- North Carolina +12.5, 2 units
- A nod here to BohBoh Bets, who brought this to my attention – this line is way inflated because it’s Mike K’s last game at Duke. North Carolina should bring the heat and make this fun – they’re no slouches this year, either.
UFC 272 Picks:
- Devonte Smith (-150), 1.5 units
- Nurmagoedov wins inside distance (-105), 2 units
- Maryna Moroz (Ukrainian, enough said, +155), 1 unit
- Greg Hardy (+165), 1 unit
- Masvidal by KO (+300), sprinkle
If you ever have any questions, message me here, on Twitter, or on Instagram. I will make myself available from 9am to 5pm every day, but please don’t expect an answer outside of those hours. I gotta shut it down sometimes. All picks are 1-5 stars based on unit size and confidence. 3 star picks are rare, 4-5 star picks are VERY rare. -Chris
