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Baltimore at LA Rams
Pick: Bal -2.5/Lean (Buying ½ pt to protect against a push at -3)
Don’t play a lot of NFL road favorites but Baltimore is a team to get behind right now until they slip up. I really liked them vs Houston last week and I passed on it and kicked myself over it.
Baltimore has scored 30 or more in 4 straight games while allowing 20 or fewer points in that span. They are 4-0 ATS as well in that period. Lamar Jackson has thrown 1 INT in his last 5 games. He has completed over 70% of his passes in each of his last 3 games. Jackson is avg nearly 7 ypc running the ball as well. He’s run for over 470 yards in his last 5 games.
Baltimore’s defense held DeShaun Watson to 7 for 18 and 100 yards last week. The Ravens defense sacked Watson 7 times.
The Ravens out gained Houston by 259 yards last week.
L.A. only out gained the horrid Bears offense by 16 yards. They only out gained a pedestrian Pittsburgh offense by 33 yds. Now both Chicago and Pittsburgh have good defenses, but this is not the Rams offense from last season. The Rams could only muster 69 more yards than the Bengals in a game where Cincinnati hung with them and nearly posted a backdoor cover, a game I sent out to you that we barely won.
The Rams offense is struggling. L.A. comes in #25 in turnovers and passing TD. They were #8 in passing TD last season. Goff has only an 11/10 TD/INT ratio. They no longer run the ball with consistent success, ranking #24 in ypc this season vs #3 in ypc last season.
I think Baltimore is too explosive right now and the Rams just are not very good on offense. Have to take the Ravens until they show some sign of letting up.
