Saratoga & Churchill Downs Weekend Preview & Picks – August 13th, 2022

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We have some great weekend racing at Saratoga Race Course and Churchill Downs. I’ll break down the top races at each track and offer my best bets.

 

Race Information:

  • Name: Saratoga Special Stakes
  • Track:  Saratoga Race Course (Saratoga Springs, NY, USA)
  • Event Grade: Grade II
  • Race: 4
  • Post Time: 2:47 PM
  • Length: 6 1/2 Furlongs
  • Purse: $200,000
  • Division: Colts | Two Years Old
  • Surface: Dirt
  • Wagers: Win, Place, Exacta, Trifecta (0.50), Superfecta (0.10)

 

Field:

Post Position  Horse A/S Wgt ML Odds
1 Super Chow 2/C 120 8-1
2 Damon’s Mound 2/C 120 7-5
3 Valenzan Day 2/C 120 12-1
4 Gulfport 2/C 122 4-5
5 Owen’s Leap 2/C 120 8-1

 

Horse Preview:

(1) Super Chow, won his maiden at Gulfstream Park last month in a $55k MsW 5-furlong sprint. He sped to the front, set the pace, and pulled away down the stretch. Super Chow also posted a bullet workout on August 6th.

(2) Damon’s Mound, won his maiden at Churchill Downs last month in a $120k MsW 6 furlong sprint.

(3) Valenzan Day, has the most experience in the field having raced three times before. In his last start, he ran 9th in the G3 Sanford Stakes after losing his footing. Before that, he finished 3rd in the Tremont Stakes and won a MsW at Belmont.

(4) Gulfport, goes off as the morning line favorite after winning both of his starts. In his last out, he won the Bashford Manor Stakes setting the pace from the start and winning easily. His first start was a 5-furlong MsW at Churchill where he won easily again.

(5) Owen’s Leap, finished second to Gulfport in his last start in the Bashford Manor Stakes. In his only other start, he won a 5-furlong MsW at Churchill back in May.

 

Picks:

WIN: (4) GULFPORT

EXACTA PART WHEEL: 4/ 2, 5

 

Race Information:

  • Name: Fourstardave Handicap
  • Track:  Saratoga Race Course (Saratoga Springs, NY, USA)
  • Event Grade: Grade I1
  • Race: 10
  • Post Time: 6:13 PM
  • Length: 1 Mile
  • Purse: $500,000
  • Division: Open | Three Years Old and Upward
  • Surface: Inner Turf
  • Wagers: Win, Place, Exacta, Trifecta (0.50), Superfecta (0.10)

 

Field:

Post Position  Horse A/S Wgt ML Odds
1 Casa Creed 6/H 122 5-2
2 Front Run the Fed 6/H 117 10-1
3 Regal Glory 6/M 119 6-5
4 Masen (GB) 4/G 123 2-1
5 Owen’s Leap 5/G 120 8-1

 

Picks:

WIN: (3) REGAL GLORY

Regal Glory will take on the boys in the Grade I Fourstardave Handicap. She’s coming off four straight wins, including two G1 victories in the Just a Game Stakes and Matriarch Stakes. She’s raced at Saratoga twice before winning both of those starts. Mansen, will be her main competition but this distance seems to be Regal Glory’s sweet spot.

EXACTA PART WHEEL: 3/ 1,4

 

Race Information:

  • Name: Beverly D. Stakes
  • Track:  Churchill Downs (Louisville, KY, USA)
  • Event Grade: Grade II
  • Race: 5
  • Post Time: 3:01 PM
  • Length: 1 1/8 Miles
  • Purse: $500,000
  • Division: Open | Three Years Old and Upwards
  • Surface: Turf
  • Wagers: Win, Place, Exacta, Trifecta (0.50), Superfecta (0.10)

 

Field:

Post Position  Horse A/S Wgt ML Odds
1 Dalika (GER) 6/M 125 8-1
2 Family Way 5/M 125 3-1
3 Princess Grace 5/M 125 3-1
4 Rougir (FR) 4/F 125 2-1
5 Lily Pond (IRE) 3/F 120 5-2

 

Picks:

WIN: (2) FAMILY WAY

Family Way is coming off a second-place finish in the G1 New York Stakes losing to Bleecker Street. He was caught late after setting the pace for most of the race. This distance should suit him a little better.

EXACTA BOX: 2, 5

 

Race Information:

  • Name: Arlington Million Stakes
  • Track:  Churchill Downs (Louisville, KY, USA)
  • Event Grade: Grade I
  • Race: 11
  • Post Time: 6:25 PM
  • Length: 1 1/8 Miles
  • Purse: $1,000,000
  • Division: Open | Three Years Old and Upwards
  • Surface: Turf
  • Wagers: Win, Place, Exacta, Trifecta (0.50), Superfecta (0.10)

 

Field:

Post Position  Horse A/S Wgt ML Odds
1 Set Piece (GB) 6/G 125 4-1
2 Sacred Life (FR) 7/H 125 9-2
3 Field Pass 5/H 125 8-1
4 Smooth Like Straight 5/H 125 5-2
5 Megacity 7/G 125 15-1
6 Santin 4/C 125 3-1
7 Admission Office 7/G 125 10-1
8 Cavalry Charge 5/G 125 20-1
9 Cellist 4/G 125 15-1

 

Picks:

WIN: (6) SANTIN

EXACTA BOX: 6/ 1, 4

 

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting.