NBA Premiums, 10.29 (22-10, +12.45 units)
Warriors/Hornets over 233 (-110), to win 1.5 units
This is a game the Warriors should win and they need to start stacking up Ws in spots where it’s feasible, especially since they’re deciding to play a lot of their young bucks. The Hornets won’t want to play defense tonight after a tough loss last night and the Warriors haven’t played much consistent defense yet this season. Both teams run at a top 10 pace– love the over.
Nets 1H -6 (-115), to win 1.5 units
The Pacers are a second half team and the clumsy Nets NEED a big win here. Their offense should go HAM in the first 24 minutes; I could see them, in all their flaws, allowing the Pacers back in this late. Taking the first half only.
Bucks -5 (-110), to win 1.5 units
The Hawks have looked very inconsistent and I think they’ll be fake news early, especially against great teams. They’re also not built for back-to-backs on the road; this is no big deal for an elite Milwaukee squad who’s been through far worse together.
CFB Week 7 Picks ( 32-37-7, -10.21 units):
UCF +1 (-105), to win 1 unit
I trust Gus Malzahn to make things right at home in what should be a raucous environment. Cincy is significantly less talented and has looked really poor in spots. The same could be said for UCF but they tripped last weekend in anticipation of this contest and I think they take care of business this go-round. UCF’s offense, which is 7th in the nation in yards per game, will be the difference.
Penn State +15.5 (-110), to win 1.5 units
CJ Stroud has made some egregious mistakes lately and I don’t love that heading into Happy Valley. The Nittany Lions always play Ohio State hard and that’s especially true at home. I think it’s possible this line may fall before kickoff so let’s take it over 2 TDs now. Personally, I think the Buckeyes’ offense is overrated. Of course they’re really good; but they’re not historic.
Auburn +3.5 (-110), to win 1 unit
This line is falling and falling so let’s take advantage of it while we can. Auburn is an explosive offense, top 5 in CFB in big plays, and all Arkansas does is ALLOW big plays to opposing offenses. At home and with historic ATS trends on their side, this feels like a FG game.
UFC Fight Night, (13-14, +11.38 units in 2022):
Arnold Allen (-110), to win 2 units
Much like Island last week, Allen just seems to be built differently. Normally, against an elite opponent like Kattar, I’d be looking the other direction. But this dude has made a statement in the featherweight division and the power behind his punches should be the difference.
