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Temple at Cincinnati 7 pm Saturday
Pick: Temple +10.5
Analytics: 3 Agree
Temple has won last 4 meetings
Temple has covered +10.5 in last 5 meetings
Cincinnati 6-16 ATS vs teams with a winning record
Road team 7-2 ATS last 9 meetings
These teams don’t seem that far apart right now. Cincinnati probably will be able to run the ball but I think Temple will be able to move the ball through the air. Cincinnati is allowing nearly 300 pass yards per game over their last 3 games.
The numbers over the entire course of the season and over the last 3 games are not necessarily there for Temple but Temple had a bad 2 game stretch against SMU and UCF bounced back to win at USF and then covered +6 and won straight up at home last week vs Tulane.
Looking at common opponents, outside of UCF who Cincinnati won at home against and Temple was blown out against in 2 game stretch where the Owls did not play well, Temple looks to have the better results and against a couple of teams who are not very good.
ECU
Cincinnati went to ECU, won 46-43 but got outgained by 164 yards by…..ECU! Temple went to ECU and won 27-17, outgaining the Pirates by 163 yards.
USF
Both teams have road wins at USF. Cincinnati won 20-17, Temple won 17-7, bouncing back from those 2 bad losses from SMU and UCF. Temple outgained USF by 34 yards while CIncinnati was again outgained, this time by 160 yards. USF led 10-0 at the half against the Bearcats.
Cincinnati has been outgained by opponents in 5 of their last 6 games.
Temple before their 2 game slide had a home win over a pretty good Memphis team. Temple has won their last 2 games including a straight up win at home over Tulane last week as a 6 point dog.
Doesn’t seem like Cincinnati is improving over the course of the season. They are beating teams on their schedule that they should beat. Ridder at QB has regressed a little from last season. He has completed less than 60% of his passes and has 2 more INT’s than he did last season. He only had 78 passing yards at USF last week. He hasn’t completed 60 % of his passes in a game since Wk 5 at Marshall, one of his best career days. Ridder has not passed for over 200 yards since Wk 7
Temple still has a chance to win the AAC East with a win so they have a lot to play for in this one.