The Memorial Tournament Preview & Picks

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Jordan Spieth lets another tournament get away from him after he went into the final round as the leader. Jason Kokrak takes the Charles Schwab who went off at 50-1 to win outright pre-tournament. The good news for Spieth is he has been playing better as of late, and has another strong chance in this weeks tournament.

The PGA travels to Dublin, Ohio this week for the Memorial Tournament. Muirfield Village underwent some renovations after last years tournament to lengthen the course. In addition to length, they also increased the difficulty by adding some new greenside and fairway bunkers. Most of the greens have reconstructed as well with new bentgrass. The caddies have been given the following pamphlet to highlight all the changes made. This weeks field of 120 golfer’s features some pretty big names including Bryson Dechambeau, Rory McIlroy, and the defending champion Jon Rahm.

 

Tournament Information:

  • Dates: June 3, 2021- June 6, 2021
  • Location: Dublin, Ohio, USA
  • Course: Muirfield Village
  • Par: 72
  • Length: 7,543 yards
  • Field/ Cut: 120 Players / Top 65 & Ties Make the Cut
  • Greens: Bentgrass
  • Fairways: Bentgrass
  • Previous Winner (2020): Jon Rahm (-9)

 

Key Statistics:

  • SG: Approach
  • SG: Ball Striking
  • Par 4: 450-500
  • SG: Off the Tee
  • Scrambling
  • Proximity Gained 175-200 Yards
  • SG: Putting

 

Picks (Outright):

  • Collin Morikawa (+1800)
    • Risk: 0.44 to win 7.92
      • 1st in SG: Approach to Green
      • 3rd in SG: Ball Striking
      • 1st in Par 4 Efficiency: 450-500 Yards
      • 35th in SG: Off the Tee
  • Patrick Cantlay (+2200)
    • Risk: 0.36 to win 7.92
      • 3rd in Scrambling
      • 16th in SG: Off the Tee
      • T22 in SG: Ball Striking
      • 27th in SG: Approach
  • Corey Conners (+3300)
    • Risk: 0.24 to win 7.92
      • 4th in SG: Approach
      • 4th in SG: Ball Striking
      • 8th in SG: Off the Tee
  • Louis Oosthuizen (+4100)
    • Risk: 0.20 to win 8.2
      • 1st in SG: Putting
      • 5th in Par 4 Efficiency: 400- 450 Yards
      • 20th in Scrambling
      • 30th in SG: Ball Striking
  • Joaquinn Niemann (+5000)
    • Risk 0.16 to win 8.0
      • T9 in SG: Ball Striking
      • 11th in SG: Off the Tee
      • 21st in SG: Putting
      • 35th in SG: Approach
  • Emiliano Grillo (+8000)
    • Risk: 0.1 to win 8.0
      • 2nd in SG: Ball Striking
      • 9th in SG: Approach
      • T11 in Par 4 Efficiency: 400-450 Yards
      • 33rd in SG: Off the Tee

Total Risk on Outrights: 1.50 Units

 

Picks (Matchups):

  • Rory McIlroy (+100) over Bryson Dechambeau
    • Risk 1.0 to win 1.0
  • Louis Oosthuizen (+110) over Matthew Fitzpatrick
    • Risk: 0.5  to win 0.55
  • Corey Conners (-130) over Scottie Scheffler
    • Risk: 0.65 to win 0.5
  • Joaquinn Niemann (-130) over Sungjae Im
    • Risk: 0.65 to win 0.50
  • Emiliano Grillo (-110) over Billy Horschel
    • Risk: 0.55 to win 0.50

Total Risk on Matchups: 3.35 Units

 

Total Risk on the Memorial Tournament: 4.85 Units

Year to Date: +1.9 Units

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