The Memorial Tournament certainly had it’s up’s and down’s. Jon Rahm was pulled off the course 6 strokes going into Sunday after testing positive for COVID-19. However, Sunday was almost more entertaining because of it, as C. Morikawa and P. Cantlay ended 72 holes tied forcing a playoff. P. Cantlay ended up winning the playoff cashing in at 22-1 for us. We’re now up a total of 7.38 Units in the past three tournaments.
This week was supposed to be the return of the RBC Canadian Open. However, due to the ongoing COVID restrictions in Canada, the tournament is cancelled for the second year in a row. In place of the RBC Canadian Open, the PGA created the Palmetto Championship at Congaree Golf Club. This tournament is challenging for handicappers as this course has never hosted a competitive tournament of any kind. It will be interesting to see how the PGA sets up the course this week, as it can play up to 7,700 yards. Based on previous examples, the PGA tends to take a conservative approach when going to a new course for a tournament. This weeks field is pretty week as expected since next week we have the U.S. Open at Torrey Pines. It’s a small card this week due to the lack of data and since next week is a major tournament. Let’s take a look at this unique tournament and try to find some value.
Tournament Information:
- Dates: June 10, 2021- June 13, 2021
- Location: Ridgeland, South Carolina, USA
- Course: Congaree Golf Club
- Par: 71
- Length: 7,655 yards
- Field/ Cut: 156 Players / Top 65 & Ties Make the Cut
- Greens: Bermuda
- Fairways: Bermuda
Key Statistics:
- Strokes Gained: Approach
- Strokes Gained: Around The Green
- Sand Saves Gained
- Strokes Gained: Off The Tee
- Driving Distance
- Strokes Gained: Putting
Picks (Outright):
- Tyrell Hatton (+1,400)
- Risk: 0.52 to win 7.28
- 11th in SG: Approach
- 29th in SG: Off the Tee
- 10th in Sand Save %
- Risk: 0.52 to win 7.28
- Harold Varner III (+4,000)
- Risk: 0.18 to win 7.2
- 32nd in SG: Around the Green
- 42nd in SG: Approach
- 52nd in Driving Distance
- T56th in SG: Off the Tee
- Risk: 0.18 to win 7.2
- Patton Kizzire (+4,500)
- Risk: 0.16 to win 7.2
- 12th in SG: Putting
- 51st in SG: Approach
- T63rd in Driving Distance
- Finished 3rd at Byron Nelson & Charles Schwab
- Risk: 0.16 to win 7.2
- Brandt Snedeker (+5,500)
- Risk: 0.14 to win 7.7 Units
- 39th in SG: Putting
- 51st in SG: Around the Green
- Finished in the Top 20 last 3 out of 4 tournaments
- Risk: 0.14 to win 7.7 Units
Total Risk on Outrights: 1.0 Unit
Picks (First Round Leader):
- Sungjae Im (+3,300)
- Risk 0.30 to win 9.90
- Patton Kizzire (+5,000)
- Risk 0.20 to win 10.0
Total Risk on First Round Leader: 0.50 Units
Picks (Matchups):
- Brooks Koepka (+105) over Dustin Johnson
- Risk 0.50 to win 0.525
- Ben Martin (+110) over C.T. Pan
- Risk: 0.50 to win 0.55
Total Risk on Matchups: 1.0 Unit
Total Risk on the Palmetto Championship: 2.50 Units
Year to Date: +7.38 Units
