MLB Picks (Short Version, In Order of Pick Strength)
STL Ov 3.5 Medium
ARI Ov 3.5 Small
STL -121 LEAN
MIL Ov 3.5 (-124) LEAN
MIL F5 -112 LEAN
NYM Ov 4 (-120) LEAN
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Write Ups
Update #4 12:23 pm
MLB
Arizona at Atlanta 7:20
Bumgarner vs Smyly
Pick: ARI Over 3.5 (-105) Small
Smyly has allowed 9 runs in his first 2 starts this season. Limited sample size, but ARI is batting .382 and Slugging .765 vs Smyly (13 for 34, 3 HR)
Smyly is a slow starter. He has a career 4.71 ERA in the 1st half of the season vs a .345 ERA in the 2nd half of the season.
Ari has scored 4 or more in 7 of their last 8 games
Update #3 10:52 am
MLB
Washington at NY Mets 4:05
Ross vs Stroman
Pick: Mets Ov 4 (-120) LEAN
Saw some 4.5 at books. Grabbed this at 4 at FanDuel for Push Protection in the event the Mets only get 4. A lot of numbers for Mets against Ross but only a LEAN with my confidence not quite there with NY just yet.
Ross 6.41 ERA last 5 starts vs NYM
Ross 5.73 ERA career vs Mets
Ross has allowed 4 or more runs in 5 of last 6 starts vs NYM
NYM batting .458, .771 SLG vs Ross
Update #3 10:35 am
MLB
Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs 2:20
Peralta vs Alzolay
Pick Options
MIL F5 -112 LEAN
MIL Ov 3.5 (-124) LEAN
Milwaukee has gotten to Alzolay twice this season.
Alzolay 6:10 ERA in 2 starts vs MIL
Alzolay 6.14 ERA last 7 starts
Opponents have scored 4 or more runs in 6 of last 7 starts by Alzolay
Peralta 2-1, 3.21 ERA last 3 vs Cubs
Peralta allowed 1 run in 2 starts vs Cubs this season
Cubs batters hitting .177, 11 for 62 vs Peralta
Update # 2 9:54 am
MLB Plays Added
MLB
CIN at STL 2:15
Miley vs Gant
Pick: STL Ov 3.5 Medium
Pick: STL -121 LEAN
CIN 4-9 last 13 at STL
STL batting .306 vs LHP last 10 games
I have been waiting for Miley to get hit and Cleveland got him for 4 runs in his last start. The STL roster is batting .346 in 76 ABs vs Miley. Goldschmidt and DeJong are slugging over .600 vs Miley. The Reds bullpen has an ERA of 6.25 the last 10 games.
Reds hitters are 5 for 36 (.136) vs Gant
