Had a losing weekend in CFB for the first time this year last weekend. Looking to rebound starting tonight. 50-45 Record so far up just over 12 units. Get all my premium plays available at Theoddsbreakers.com.
Navy visits Memphis tonight at The Liberty Bowl. (Line is Memphis -10.5 and 56) Navy comes in at 1-4 with Memphis at 3-3.
Memphis has been very proficient through the air so far on offense this year. QB Seth Henigan is averaging 323 yards per game with 14 TD and 3 INT. Overall on offense they are averaging just shy of 500 yards per game at 497.5. They are also at 16th in Yards per play on the year at 6.77.
Navy’s option offense took a few games to get rolling, as they only scored ten points combined vs Marshall and Air Force. The last few games have been better as they are averaging 26 points per game the last 3. This includes a nice win over UCF where they put up 348 yards on the ground.
The key here are the defenses. I don’t have much faith in either of them in these particular match-ups. Navy has struggled against the pass. The can’t get any pressure on the QB, and they lost both starting CBs last week. One to injury and one for targeting. The way Memphis throws the ball I don’t see Navy slowing them down. Memphis is ranked 116th in total yards allowed per game at 457.3. Last week against Tulsa they were gashed for 235 yards on the ground against a rush heavy offense. I see the same thing happening with Navy.
Even with Navy’s slow methodical offense they will get some good chunk plays and will move the ball, and Memphis will move it with ease. I’ve got this game much higher at 38-28, Take the over 56, 2 Unit Play
