TNF Free Play!

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The NFL is back!  I can’t believe it is that time of the year already and boy am I amped.  The action tonight should be exhilarating as we have two league heavy weights squaring off and dare I say a possible Super Bowl Preview?  A lot of football to occur before we get too ahead of ourselves.  Time to buckle up and get dialed in as we have 6 months of action to look forward to.   

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Bills -2.5 -110 2 Units

Always looking for angles and I locked this in 2 weeks ago when I saw Aaron Donald go double handed Rambo with two helmets at Bengals players.  Immediately jumped on the Bills @ -2.5 thinking a suspension was coming and the line would eventually move above 3.  But mistakenly forgot there is no rhyme or reason with the NFL and how they handle their disciplinary procedures.  The line since then moved back to 2 so hopefully some of you got it when it was there (I should have just taken it immediately when it came out at 1-1.5, but here we are), now it is back at -2.5 and all is well in the world not being screwed (yet) with CLV.  We are still under a key number of 3, but let’s dive into why the Bills are poised to win on the road opening night against the defending Super Bowl Champs.

First off we all know the LA fanbase is not real.  In fact the entire city of LA is fake.  SoFi Stadium imported $24,000 in Labatte Blue in preparation for the Bills Mafia arrival.  There is no home field advantage for the Rams here with this road crowd tuned up.  Bills are coming into this season with chip on their shoulder feeling they got robbed by a coin flip to end their Super Bowl campaign in 2022.  Whether you disagree or not that a coin flip determined the outcome of a playoff game in 2022 (as many debated), we can’t debate the fact that the Bills showed they were poised to travel into rowdy KC playoff atmosphere in January and compete with the leagues best.  Traveling into SoFi in September is going to put this team at a disadvantage? I don’t think so.

It’s no secret this has potential to be a heavy weight boxing match, exchanging blow after blow back and forth.  There is so much talent on both sides of the field.  Where I find an edge is the dynamic athletic ability of Josh Allen vs Matthew Stafford.  Josh Allen has the ability to turn any play at any time into positive production.  He can do it all from breaking tackles, throwing on the run outside the pocket, massive arm strength, and dialed in accuracy… he is it.  Stafford at 34 is still slinging the ball as we saw it last year.  However, the talks of the elbow injury that is going to be with him all season is a cause for concern.  It is week 1 so it should not factor too much in his performance.  Both great QBs in their own right, but what sets them apart?  The mental hunger for themselves and their organization.  Stafford and the Rams are on cloud nine, they did it… achieved greatness and McVay and Stafford shut up the haters.  Josh Allen and the Bills want that and need it.  It starts tonight.

 

Steve Norman