Drew Dober vs Brad Riddell +125
I am pretty interested in this fight. Drew Dobber is 23-10 at 32 years old. He a borderline tier 2/3 fighter who never can beat top competition. Brad Riddell at 29 years old is 9-1 and is an up and coming fighter who has a shot to move up in this lightweight class. Statically, Riddell has a slight edge in every fight category but part of that reason was due to Dober’s number of fights and overall competition being higher. These fighters are probably pretty even as of today but the thing that I am keying in on this fight is upside. One fighter has a shot, the other is receiving a paycheck. Dobber hasn’t submitted anyone since 2014. Riddell has a good young Jaw and his only loss was by submission. I think that the price of this fight should be even at -110. Gonna take the slight dog for a play.
Riddell +125 – 1.5 stars
Darren Steward vs Eryk Anders -148
Ok, why is Eryk Anders a favorite here against a well acclaimed fighter like Darren Stewart? Well, you don’t have to go back far for this one. These 2 fighters fought back on March 13th this year and Anders was, pardon my pun, kicking the shit out of Stewart until Stewart went down to a knee and Anders due to pure adrenaline hit him with an Illegal knee allowing Stewart to play possum (smart move) and get a no decision. We had to take our + money tickets and use them as a tissue before cashing it back. I’m not bitter at all…. Anyways I think that Stewart will be intimidated this fight and Anders knows that he is the better fighter. On paper, both of these fighters look pretty equal with the slight edge to Anders for his stand up and the slight edge to Stewart for his ground game. -150 says there is a 60% chance that Anders wins. I think it is a little higher than that but I will at least admit that I can’t quantify it and I am going by what I watched over the past few years.
Eryk Anders -148 – 2 stars
Main Event: Israel Adesanya vs Marvin Vettori +220
If you want our play for this fight please listen to Podcast 41-21. The play is towards the end. Best of luck everyone!
