UFC 268 Free Plays – Sports Betting

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Justin Gaethje vs Michael Chandler +175

About time Justin steps back into the ring against a contender.   But is Michael Chandler a contender?  Well, he certainly has had some hype at 35 years old and a nice 22-6 record but most of those fights were in the Bellator and not the higher class UFC.  Chandler has great stand up and a decent ground game but he hasn’t wanted to go to the mat in a while for some reason.    His UFC fights were against a very overrated Dan Hooker and the Champion Charles Olivera who might have got caught some by Chandler in the first round but instead survived and KO’d Chandler in the 2nd.  The problem is that the Champion, Charles Olivera isn’t even the best fighter in this stacked lightweight class.  I personally think that Justin Gaethje at 32 years old and 22-3 is better than the champion Charles Olivera and this fight might just prove it.   Gaethje has amazing standup landing 7.46 significant strikes per minute to Michael Chandler’s 4.49.  Chandler has the better ground game in general but as said before, he doesn’t use it anymore.   I think Justin Gaethje wins this bout and I am going to lay the -205 up to -220.

Gaejthe -205 – 2 stars

Parlay Justin Gaejthe -205 with Kamaru Usman -320 at -102ish – 1 star – I like Colby Covington a lot but Usman has many outs in this fight.  If he gets banged up he plays the control game against the cage.

Andreas Michailidis +205 – 1.5 star premium – This fight is just mispriced in the first place.   Andreas is 13-4 going against a guy who is only 3-1 with no UFC experience.  Fade the hype for the sake of the price.

 

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Kiev O'Neil: 20+ years of sports betting experience. Podcast host since 2017. College Football since 2019 412-367-27 UP 58.7U NFL since 2018 249-228-16 up 40U UFC since 2019 82-74-5 up 34.1U I do not necessarily look at myself as being a so called “sharp” sports bettor. Instead I like to think of myself as a great compiler of information who specializes in the Big 10, but also handicaps all NFL, NCAA football, UFC, Basketball, Horse Racing and more! I encourage people to specialize in a conference or division that will help give them the greatest edge in their sports wagers. I am never against a person betting against their favorite teams when the situation is right.