UFC 310 Free Play – Sports Betting – Clay Guida vs Chase Hooper

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Clay Guida vs Chase Hooper -1100

This could be the last time we see old Clay Guida who has had a wonderful UFC career.  At 42 years old, I do not think that there is much left in the tank and the line definitely shows it.   What I will say is that Clay does not get knocked out.  As a matter of fact, out of his 24 losses, he has only been fished by KO/TKO/DQ twice.   What Clay does is fall victim to submission or decision with 11 losses by sub and 10 by points.  Chase Hooper is a young buck who can fight either standing or on the ground.  He is only 25 years old and at 14-3, he has 4 KOs, 7 submissions and 3 decisions.   Now the obvious thing is Hooper by decision, but I am just not so sure of that.   The price of this prop is massively juiced at -175.   If Clay’s corner has any Brains, they will have him try to keep his distance.   As much as Clay get’s choked out, he at last has a 67% take down defense and he isn’t a complete slouch on the ground himself with 14 wins by his own submissions.   I think that the value has switched to Clay in his last fight going the three round vs Chase Hooper.   I think Chase could win by points and the price is very nice.

Chase Hooper by decision (points)  +275 – 1 star

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