UFC 314 Free Play – Sports Betting

173

Nikita Krylov vs. Dominick Reyes +140

This should be an exciting fight between two big contenders vying for title contention. The favorite, Nikita Krylov, is a strong Ukrainian who hasn’t been in the octagon for over two years. He is skilled both on the feet and on the floor, with notable wins against Ryan Spann and Volkan Oezdemir. Dominick Reyes, on the other hand, has been a frustrating fighter for MMA fans to figure out. He was on a tear until he lost a close fight to the GOAT, Jon Jones. After that, he suffered strange losses, getting knocked out in three consecutive fights against Jan Blachowicz, Jiri Prochazka, and, surprisingly, Ryan Spann. Reyes took some time off and came back strong with two knockouts, defeating Dustin Jacoby and Anthony Smith.

 

Handicap:

In my opinion, this fight should be a straight pick-’em. While Krylov is a badass, Reyes should have the striking advantage, landing 5.64 significant strikes per round compared to Krylov’s 4.38. I give Nikita the edge on the ground, but the big question is whether he can take Reyes down. Dominick has an impressive takedown defense rate of 82%. He has never been submitted and has secured a few submissions himself.

I’m also concerned about ring rust for Krylov, given his two-year absence from competitive fighting. Meanwhile, Reyes has fought in two events over the past year. My recommendation: grab the underdog.

Dominick Reyes +140. 1-star 

 

Bonus Play:

Jean Silva to win by KO/TKO (+100) – 1 star

Jean is red-hot, as is his team, The Fighting Nerds. While Bryce Mitchell is an excellent wrestler, that’s essentially his only strength. Wrestling works against lower-tier competition, but it won’t hold up against Silva, who is a well-rounded fighter. Being Brazilian, Silva is no stranger to grappling and has a few submission wins under his belt.

Mitchell’s chin has been exposed before, notably when Josh Emmett dominated him in December 2023. Silva will likely remain patient, and it wouldn’t be surprising if Mitchell walks into a knee to the chin.

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