UFC Fight Night 187 – Free Play

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Leon Edwards vs Bilal Muhammed +220

To be honest, there should be a 187 on this fight card if you ask me.   I searched and couldn’t find much value but here in the main event.  This fight should be an interesting one.  Both fighters seem pretty hungry to me but the price really says that Edwards wins this fight.  Edwards is 29 years old and 18-3 in MMA.  His only losses were by decisions or DQ and his last one was way back in 2015 to the current champion Kamaru Usman.  He is hoping for a rematch soon and this fight might get him there.  Bilal Muhammed is kind of a badass himself at 18-3 and 32 years old but he hasn’t faced the same competition as Edwards.  Bilal has only been knocked out once is his career and has never been submitted as well.  The Obvious thing for me in this fight is the over 4.5 rounds at -200.   You could take the distance at -190 but I’d personally rather pay the 10 cents to get out of the last 2.5 minutes of this fight.   Edwards has went the distance 11 times in his 21 fights including 5 out of his last 6.  He would rather win that way than expose himself.   Muhammed has went to decision 15 times out of his 21 fights including 7 times out of his last 8.  There is only 1 play for me.

Over 4.5 rounds -200 is the play for 3 stars

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Kiev O'Neil: 20+ years of sports betting experience. Podcast host since 2017. College Football since 2019 412-367-27 UP 58.7U NFL since 2018 249-228-16 up 40U UFC since 2019 82-74-5 up 34.1U I do not necessarily look at myself as being a so called “sharp” sports bettor. Instead I like to think of myself as a great compiler of information who specializes in the Big 10, but also handicaps all NFL, NCAA football, UFC, Basketball, Horse Racing and more! I encourage people to specialize in a conference or division that will help give them the greatest edge in their sports wagers. I am never against a person betting against their favorite teams when the situation is right.