UFC Fight Night Free Picks from FarleyBets – July 23, 2022

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Hi Everyone! It’s rare that I do a free pick article in the UFC, but why not try and be like the UFC GOAT and get some Ws this afternoon in London? The UFC kicks off around noon EST so get these plays in soon if you like them!

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Aspinall within distance (EVEN), to win 1 unit
Aspinall to score a takedown (-120), to win 1 unit
Wagers on Aspinall makes too much sense. Big Tom has now won 8 straight pro fights and he’s finished SEVEN of those in the 1st round. A takedown, submission, and striking artist, there’s not much left out in Aspinall’s game. He’s a versatile fighter with a 1″ height advantage and he’s in front of a home crowd, poised to make a big leap in his heavyweight history. All Aspinall for me.
Pimblett by TKO/KO or Submission (-135), to win 2 units
I believe the hype. Pimblett is loud and brash and has a big personality like McGregor, but he can back it up. Firstly, do you know how ballsy and badass it is to be that stoic and confident before a fight? His energy resembles Connor in his heyday and that’s not easy to do. Mental games alone should give Paddy the edge, but the reality is, his repertoire is just more dynamic than Leavitt. He has a reach advantage, height advantage, and experience advantage for a little cherry on top. Paddy keeps his legend going today, within distance.
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McCann/Goldy – Will Fight Go Distance: No (+172), to win 1.72 units
Did you see McCann’s spinning elbow in her last matchup? I know it’s all part of the same dynamic – Paddy and McCann and now (of course) Dave Portnoy is wearing the wig and jumping on the bandwagon (that gets annoying, don’t you think?), but it’s all for good reason. McCann is an excellent fighter with a rock solid chin and aggressive nature. Questionable decision losses taint her overall record, but it feels like 24k Hannah Goldy is being served up on a 24k platter for McCann; Goldy just hasn’t had the opponents or depth of experience to survive in a fight against “Meatball” McCann, and I think it’s very possible McCann ends her night early.
Chris Curtis (-107), to win 1 unit
Hermansson is a solid fighter but he’s been on a downward trajectory for some time, showing his weakness in two recent losses against Sean Strickland and Martin Vettori. Curtis seems to only be getting better, with really impressive victories against Brendan Allen and Rodolfo Vieira highlighting his ascent. Worth a bet on his momentum alone.