UFC on ABC 5- Josh Emmett vs Ilia Topuria

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Josh Emmett vs Ilia Topuria -350 O/U 2.5 juiced to the under -240

This should be a great fight and a great event in Jacksonville Florida.  It starts early so get your bets in early!   They say the numbers tell the story, so if that is true, then there is only one way to attack this fight.   Josh Emmett is a striker and a very solid fighter in the featherweight division.   He has been around a long time at 38 years old, 18-3, and has won against some pretty big names like Calvin Kattar, Dan Ige and Shane Burgos.   Emmett also has a few head scratching losses vs Jeremy Stephens and Desmond Green.  I put him at a solid tier 2 fighter right now in my rankings.   His opponent Ilia Topuria is a hungry beast who is undefeated at the age of 26 at 13-0.   Ilia has the amazing fight skills combining Greco Roman wrestling with Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu.   Back to the numbers.   It certainly is interesting to see the 5th ranked fighter in Emmett being a dog of +290 against the 9th ranked fighter in Topuria.    The numbers on the fight starts round three is all the way to +190, while Ilia is the massive favorite here at -340.  Both of Emmett’s losses over the past five years were in the 2nd round.  12 out of Ilia’s 13 fights have ended before the 3rd round.  There is an obvious way of attacking this fight if you do not want to lay juice.   Ilia is a firecracker and will try and end this early.   The number say 1st or 2nd round so let’s combine our plays for some + money at blended odds of +131.

Ilia Topuria wins in 1st round +175 – 1 star
Ilia Topuria wins in 2nd round +350 – 1 star

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Kiev O'Neil: 20+ years of sports betting experience. Podcast host since 2017. College Football since 2019 412-367-27 UP 58.7U NFL since 2018 249-228-16 up 40U UFC since 2019 82-74-5 up 34.1U I do not necessarily look at myself as being a so called “sharp” sports bettor. Instead I like to think of myself as a great compiler of information who specializes in the Big 10, but also handicaps all NFL, NCAA football, UFC, Basketball, Horse Racing and more! I encourage people to specialize in a conference or division that will help give them the greatest edge in their sports wagers. I am never against a person betting against their favorite teams when the situation is right.

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