Waste Management Phoenix Open – Preview & Picks

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TOM HOGE (60-1) gets it done at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am to give us our first outright winner of the year! In addition to capturing the winner, we also cashed on Christiaan Bezuidenhout (+190) Top 20 and Nick Taylor (+130) Top 40. With all of those bets combined, we went up 9.75 Units last week!

The PGA Tour heads to Arizona for the Waste Management Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale. It’s one of the best tournaments on the Tour given the field and atmosphere. With that being said, lets breakdown the tournament and try to find another winner!

 

Tournament Information:

  • Dates: February 10th, 2022- February 13th, 2022
  • Location: Scottsdale, Arizona, United States
  • Course: TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course)
  • Course Type: Desert/ Stadium
  • Par: 71 (4x 3’s / 11x 4’s / 3x 5’s)
  • Length: 7,261 yards
  • Format: 72 hole stroke play
  • Field/ Cut: 132 Players | Top 65 and Ties after 36 Holes
  • Greens: TifEagle Bermudagrass overseeded with Poa Trivialis and Ryegrass
  • Fairways: Bermudagrass with Perennial Rye and fine fescue
  • Rough: Bermudagrass with Perennial Rye and fine fescue 2.5″
  • Stimpmeter: 12.0 feet
  • Purse: $8,200,000 / Winner $1.476 Million
  • FedEx Cup Points: 500
  • Bunkers: 67
  • Water Hazards: – (In-Play on 6 Holes)
  • Average Green Size: 7,069 sq. ft.
  • Scoring Average:
    • 2021: 69.46 (-1.54)

 

Course Architect/ Comparable Courses:

  • Course Architect: Tom Weiskopf and Jay Morrish (1995)
  • Renovations: Tom Weiskopf (2014)
  • Comparable Courses:
    • TPC Summerlin
    • TPC Sawgrass
    • PGA West Stadium Course

 

TV Information:

  • Round 1: Thursday, February 10th, 2022
    • Golf Channel/ PGA Tour Live – 11:00 AM – 3:00 PM ET
    • Golf Channel – 3:00 PM – 7:00 PM ET
  • Round 2: Friday, February 11th, 2022
    • Golf Channel – 3:00 PM – 7:00 PM ET
  • Round 3: Saturday, February 12th, 2022
    • Golf Channel – 1:00 PM – 3:00 PM ET
    • NBC – 3:00 PM – 6:00 PM ET
  • Round 4: Sunday, February 13th, 2022
    • Golf Channel – 1:00 PM – 3:00 PM ET
    • NBC – 3:00 PM – 6:00 PM ET

 

Weather:

  • Thursday: Sunny 65 F, 9 mp/h NE, 18% Humidity, 0% Chance of Rain
  • Friday: Sunny 66 F, 6 mp/h SSW, 20% Humidity, 0% Chance of Rain
  • Saturday: Sunny 66 F, 11 mp/h E, 16% Humidity, 0% Chance of Rain
  • Sunday: Sunny 66 F, 5 mp/h E, 16% Humidity, 0% Chance of Rain

 

Course/ Tournament History:

The Phoenix Open originated in 1932 under the name of the Arizona Open. It was then switched to the Phoenix Open in 1934 however there was no tournament that year. The current sponsor Waste Management took over the naming rights in 2010.

This tournament is the best attended event in golf, with a four-day attendance of roughly half a million people. In 2016, the PGA Tour record single day attendance record was broken with 618,365 fans entering the grounds. The Waste Management Phoenix Open is basically one big party centered around the Par 3 16th. It’s referred to as “The Coliseum” and is essentially a free for all where spectators are encouraged to make noise.

In 1987 the event moved to TPC Scottsdale where it is currently held. Prior to TPC Scottsdale, the tournament was held at Phoenix Country Club and Arizona Country Club.

 

Course Guide/ Scorecard:

TPC Scottsdale is a Par 71 that plays just over 7,250 yards. Given the presumed weather conditions for the week, approach shots will be crucial this week. The green’s are on the small size which is why Greens in Regulation and SG: Approach are key stats this week. The 3 Par 5’s on the course are long but, TPC Scottsdale does feature some very short Par 4’s that players will need to take advantage of.

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The Field/ Odds:

We have a star-studded cast this week for the Waste Management Phoenix Open. 14 of the top 20 players in the world will be at TPC Scottsdale. Jon Rahm, will return back to Arizona, where he played his college golf at Arizona State. He’s the currently ranking #1 in the Official World Golf Rankings and has played historically well in this event, but has never won. Rahm is the odds on favorite to win at +600 followed by Justin Thomas (+1000), 2016 & 2017 winner Hideki Matsuyama (+1400) and OWGR #3 Viktor Hovland (+1600). Hovland returns from the Middle East where he won the Slync.io Dubai Desert Classic on the DP World Tour.

Other notable names include Patrick Cantlay (+1600), Jordan Spieth (+1600), Xander Schauffele (+2000), and 2015 & 2021 winner Brooks Koepka (+3000).

Click the link, to see the most up to date odds.

Click the link, to find out how everyone in the field has qualified.

 

Key Statistics:

  • Strokes Gained: Tee to Green
  • Strokes Gained: Approach
  • Strokes Gained: Off the Tee
  • Strokes Gained: Putting (Bermuda)
  • Greens in Regulation %
  • Par 4 Scoring
  • Birdie or Better %

 

Previous Winners Scores & Prices:

  • 2021: Brooks Koepka (-19)
    • Price: 50-1
  • 2020: Webb Simpson (-17)
    • Price: 14-1
  • 2019: Rickie Fowler (-17)
    • Price: 22-1
  • 2018: Gary Woodland (-18)
    • Price: 50-1
  • 2017: Hideki Matsuyama (-17)
    • Price: 11-1

 

Picks (Outright):

  • Jordan Spieth (+2200) – Caesars
    • Risk: 0.37 to win 8.14 Units
  • Scottie Scheffler (+2500) – Caesars
    • Risk 0.32 to win 8.00 Units
  • Sam Burns (+3400) – FanDuel
    • Risk 0.24 to win 8.16 Units
  • Tony Finau (+4000) – BETMGM
    • Risk 0.20 to win 8.00 Units

Total Risk on Outrights: 1.13 Units

 

Picks (Top 20):

  • Matthew Fitzpatrick (+170) – DraftKings
    • Risk: 1.00 to win 1.70 Units
  • Andrew Putnam (+275) – DraftKings
    • Risk: 0.50 to win 1.375 Units
  • Matt Kuchar (+275) – DraftKings
    • Risk: 0.50 to win 1.375 Units

Total Risk on Top 20: 2.00 Units

 

Picks (Top 40):

  • Brandon Grace (+140) – DraftKings
    • Risk 1.00 Units to win 1.40 Units

Total Risk on Top 40: 1.00 Units

 

Total Risk on the Waste Management Phoenix Open : 4.13 Units

 

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting.