Wednesday-Friday Bowl Action

Wednesday, December 26, 2018

SERVPRO FIRST RESPONDER BOWL

No. 20 Boston College (7-5) vs No. 25 Boise State (10-3)Summary

PICK:  Boise St -2/Lean

Boston College lost their last 3 games of the season while Boise St won 7 of their final 8.  So many things in Boise St favor it seems. A.J. Dillon is hobbled with an ankle injury and is questionable for this one for BC which would be another advantage for Boise St.  

Boise St on offense ranks #23 in total offense and #18 in pass offense while BC is #71 in total defense and #96 against the pass.  Advantage Boise St.

Road stats and Last 3 all favor Boise St in this.

Road Stats

LAST 3 Overall

Edge/Angle

Boston College

Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.

Eagles are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 bowl games.

Eagles are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 Bowl games.

Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Eagles are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games in December

Boise State

Broncos are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.

Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Wednesday games.

Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.

Broncos are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.

Broncos are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 bowl games.

Broncos are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Bowl games.

Broncos are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 neutral site games

Thursday, December 27, 2018

WALK-ON’S INDEPEDENCE BOWL

Temple (8-4) vs Duke (7-5)

Pick: Temple -2/Normal  (bought 1 point from -3)

Really like Temple’s run offense against Duke’s run defense in this game.  Duke has allowed over 1150 rush yards over the last 4 games. They are allowing 6.6 yards per carry over the last 3.  Temple offense is #22 in scoring.

Temple’s best win was vs Cincinnati.  They also went to Houston and won by 10 and had a 3 TD win at Maryland early in the season.  Duke is coming off of a horrible home loss 59-7 to Wake Forest. Duke is 3-7-1 ATS off of a loss.  

My only concern is that Temple will be playing for interim head coach Foley as previous head coach Collins has left for Georgia Tech.  HB Armstead is listed as questionable with an ankle injury but I am not reading anything that he is expected not to play. He still has another 5 days to rest.  I would not be surprised if Temple wins this by more than a TD.

Edge/Angle

Temple’s offense averages nearly 150 more yards per game on the road than Duke.  

Temple’s defense is #7 vs the pass.  They allow 70 fewer yards per game on the road than Duke.  

Road Stats

Last 3

Temple

• Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
• Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
• Owls are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Owls are 27-7 ATS in their last 34 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Owls are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 Thursday games.
• Owls are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
• Owls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.
• Owls are 44-15 ATS in their last 59 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Owls are 14-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Owls are 37-17 ATS in their last 54 games overall.
• Owls are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 games following a ATS win.
• Owls are 41-20 ATS in their last 61 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Duke

• Blue Devils are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss.
• Blue Devils are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
• Blue Devils are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
• Blue Devils are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
• Blue Devils are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Friday, December 28, 2018

CAMPING WORLD BOWL

No. 16 West Virginia (8-3) vs No. 20 Syracuse (9-3)

Pick:Syracuse-1/Normal   

With Grier not playing for WVU, I like Syracuse here against this WVU defense.  This will be a play. West Virginia’s defense has allowed over 40 points in the 3 of the last 4 games.  Syracuse has scored 40 or more points in 4 of last 5 games. WVU ended the season with back to back losses while Syracuse won 4 of their final 5 games.  I think Grier not playing has to change this entire dynamic here and I feel this is a pretty favorable line considering this.

Have not pulled trigger but so far, interested in:

Cal-1/Very Small

GA Tech , line got away from where I really would have liked to play it.  Now at -5.5. I like GT to win this game. Outside of the horrible game plan Wisconsin had against them, Minnesota has been very bad on the road against teams that run the ball.  Might be a chance to parlay GA Tech on the money line with another game.

Washington St-3  Would like to get this at less than 3, possibly a money line partner with GA Tech