Week 14 NFL Free Pick

566

After the red hot start the Dallas Cowboys had, who would have thought the week 14 match up with the WFT would have potential divisional title implications?  Cowboys have been inconsistent as of late and Washington has been on fire.  Shaping up for an epic/classic NFC East showdown!

NFL record through week 13: 105-81, +25.57 Units

Dal -4.5 (-110)

This week Mike McCarthy guaranteed a win vs. The WFT.  As we know in the realm of sports whether it’s coaching, playing, or even sports betting this is a HUGE NO-NO.  The media naturally had a field day with McCarthy’s comments and Ron Rivera responded by saying it was a, “big mistake” (literally rolling my eyes at this back and forth).  Does this give WFT that extra motivation/”bulletin board material” to play harder and upset their division foe?  This isn’t High School or College Football, this is the NFL and if this it what Washington needed to hear to be able to perform this week, then they already lost.

No secret Qb match up wise favors Dallas.  Dak Prescott is 7-1 all-time against Washington and is currently carrying at 7-0 ATS record against the NFC East in his last seven games.  Zeke has been slow and struggling with his knee injury making him a shell of himself.  News coming out today that Pollard most likely will not play which is a huge hit to the Cowboys backfield.  However, Corey Clement is more than capable of picking up the slack for Dallas in the back field, specifically in the screen department.  Let’s not forget he was a critical piece in the backfield for Philadelphia and their Super Bowl win (Go Birds).   The Cowboys are not afraid to throw the ball as we saw week 1 against Tampa Bay.  Amari Cooper is 100% after his bout with Covid-19 and will be back for a full workload.  This is where the Cowboys are dangerous, extremely dangerous.  All three top receivers are finally a go with Cooper, Lamb, and Gallup healthy and ready to perform.  Do not sleep on Dalton Shultz in the mix, the Cowboys offense is going to give Washington all they can handle.

Washington’s defense has been playing well as of late especially after losing key pieces in Chase Young and Montez Sweat.  This week they are losing their DE James Smith and could potentially be very thin in the linebacker department.  Especially if their starting MLB is out in Jamin Davis due to concussion protocol.  It is only a matter of time for this patch work defense implodes, and the Cowboys are ready to expose it.  Washington’s offense is predicated on controlling the clock and sustaining long drives with their run game.  They lean heavily on Antonio Gibson, but Cowboys defense ranks 9th against the run and will be up for the task.  Micah Parsons has been an absolute beast for Dallas this year.  Looking to tee-off on Heinicke and allow Diggs clean up the mess on the back end.

Weather will not be a factor in this game, will come down to who is the better team.  Dallas in all aspects are the better team.  Let’s not over think this one and let the line being over the key number of 3 confuse us.  Dallas wins- Mike McCarthy guarantees it and I am betting (keyword: betting) Dallas covers -4.5.

Thanks for the support and good luck!

Be sure to check out our Circa picks tomorrow morning as we are currently tied for 40th place!