Here we have it my first article officially for TheOddsBreakers and Case Keenum’s first start for the 2021 NFL season. This should make for for an exciting adventure for the both of us– here is my pick:
Current NFL Season Record: 60-30 (66%), +36 units
Cle -2 (-104) 1 unit :
As we all know by now both of these teams have had their fair share of injuries with the ladder belonging to the Browns. Key offensive weapons in Mayfield, Chubb, Hunt, and possibly Beckham are a no go for tonights contest. In recent positive news for the Browns it looks like Landry will be a go for tonight.
So now we must ask after all of that, how are the Browns still favored? My answer is I don’t fully believe the falloff is that severe going from Mayfield to Keenum in this particular spot. Let’s not forget Stefanski was Keenum’s Qb coach during his time in Minnesota when they had their run to make it to the NFL Championship game. There is a relationship there, Keenum knows this offense, and is not afraid to step in and execute effectively.
This season the Browns have heavily relied on the run and I think that trend will continue tonight. Even with out the likes of Chubb and Hunt I still like the chances of them being successful with the combination of Johnson and Felton taking their place. Key reasonings Bronco’s linebacking core is completely decimated. If the Browns can establish a solid run game with their offensive line allowing their running backs to get to the next level, I believe they will be able to control this game and allow for more play action potential for Keenum to get the Brown’s passing game going.
Last thought for me, this line just absolutely doesn’t make sense. When have you seen a team lose their starting QB, RB(s), and possibly WR in the same week (a short one at that) and still be favored? Everything inside of me wants to take the easy/possibly obvious way out and take the Broncos. I simply just can’t bring myself too. I really like the narrative that the Browns defense has been getting absolutely decimated the last two weeks and they have to be pissed off and ready to show up tonight. Teddy Bridgewater is not a 100% and I could see Myles Garrett having an absolute MONSTER night. Case Keenum is a competent back up in this league, he knows this offense, the stage is not too big. Browns -2, 1 unit. Good luck everyone.
