Off of a 5-2 day Member/Personal Plays in CFB.
Here is Week 8 NFL.
Eagles at Bills 1 pm
Pick: Eagles +3.5/Small (Bought 1 point)
I am going to take the Eagles. Hard to imagine them going to 3-5 and really hard to imagine the Bills at 6-1 with Josh Allen at QB.
The Dolphins out gained the Bills last week. Buffalo could only win that game by 10 in Buffalo. The Bills have unimpressive 1 pt and 4 pt wins over the Jets and Bengals. They failed to cover at home vs Miami and the Bengals.
Meanwhile the Eagles are coming off of 2 disappointing road losses, albeit, to the Vikings and Cowboys who will likely be in contention at the end of the season. The Eagles had 7 turnovers between those 2 losses and had 400 total yards against the Vikings defense at Minnesota.
Philly isn’t that far removed from a dominant home win over the Jets and going into Green Bay to hand the Packers their only loss so far.
Despite the Eagles woes on defense, it stems from their pass d, as their run defense is #6 in the league. The Bills only out gained the Giants by 18 yds with Eli still in at QB. I don’t see Buffalo dominating with their offense. Their defense is good, no doubt but it really has not been tested.
Supposed to be a lot of wind here so expecting a lower scoring game that should allow the Eagles to keep it close which I think they would anyway.
Buccaneers at Titans 1 pm
Pick: Tampa +3.5/Very Small (Bought 1 point)
I like Tampa here. Winston is coming off of a horrible outing, in another country vs a pretty good team in Carolina. The Tampa QB threw 5 picks in that game, and the team had 7 turnovers in the game. The narrative has been “Same Ole Winston”. However, prior to that game, Winston had been improving. Prior to the Carolina game, since Wk 1, Winston had a 10/2 TD/INT ratio. Tampa had only 2 turnovers in the previous 4 games. Tampa still out gained Carolina by over 100 yards in that loss.
With all of those turnovers, Tampa is only -2 on the season in turnover margin
The Bucs have a good coach and are a very good offensive team, #4 in scoring offense. They are only 3 games removed from putting up 55 points in a win at the Rams. Tampa also quietly has the #1 rush defense in the league. They have allowed over 100 yd rushing only once, 112 at the Saints 2 games ago.
The Titans are not going to be rescued by Tannehill at QB. He already has as many INTs as Mariota had (2). They are better at running the ball but still only gaining 3.1 ypc over the last 3 games. The Titans were shutout at Denver and have a home loss to the Bills by 7 and lost by 13 to a very average Jacksonville team at Jacksonville.
This will be the most explosive team the Titans have faced. Turnovers by Tampa are a concern but the Titans D have not had more than 1 takeaway in any of their last 4 games. 1 in each.
Also, Tennessee is last in the league in sacks allowed. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Tampa come away with a win in this one.
Bengals vs Rams 1 pm
Pick: Rams -10/Small (Bought 1 point)
Bengals are giving up over 5 ypc this season. They are last in the league in run defense. This should be a good chance to see if Todd Gurley can get it going again and if he can, the passing game should open up and allow the Rams to have a big game offensively.
Cincinnati’s offense has 2 or more turnovers in 3 of their last 4 games and in 4 of their 6 games this season. Their defense has just 1 takeaway in their last 3 games. The Bengals are -9 in turnover margin for the season. They are also #27 in sacks allowed. Cincinnati is gaining only 2.9 ypc this season while the Rams allow 3.4. Dalton is likely going to have to throw a lot, probably under pressure and the Rams have Ramsey now at CB to help out.
I don’t see how the Bengals keep this within 10.
