2 Free Premium Picks (1 NBA, 1 CBB) for Monday, February 28th

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Feb 12, 2022; Waco, Texas, USA; Texas Longhorns guard Marcus Carr (2) moves to the basket against Baylor Bears forward Jeremy Sochan (1) during the first half at Ferrell Center. Mandatory Credit: Chris Jones-USA TODAY Sports

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The Chicago Bulls go on the road to take on the home Miami Heat. The Heat come into this Eastern Conference matchup with a home record of 20-7 while going 40-21 overall. The Heat is also 29-14 as a favorite this season and are 34-27 against the spread overall this season. The Bulls are 39-22 overall, and are 6-15 as an underdog. Miami took care of business in the previous matchup as a +2 point dog, winning outright 118-92. The Heat are scorching the nets on three pointers, ranking 3rd in offensive 3P% and the Bulls defense ranks a lowly 26th in opponent three point percentage. The Bulls defense also ranks low at 22nd in opponent FG%, the Heat are a great true shooting team and defend better than what Chicago does. Miami ranks 5th in points allowed, 5th in opponent FG% and 2nd in total rebounding. Chicago does put up a fight against their opponents for offensive rebounds, therefore the battle of those boards will be crucial. The Heat are the overall better rebounding and defensive team, the Heat should be able to win and cover this spread at home by continuing to defend and shoot the ball effectively. This game could come down to three point shooting, FTs and offensive rebounding. Take Miami -3.5

Baylor goes on the road to take on in-state foe and Big 12 conference opponent Texas. The Longhorns are hosting the Baylor Bears of Waco in a big time show down for conference tournament seeding implications. The Bears are currently 24-5 overall with a 4-6 record against the spread in their last ten games played, their injuries and depth issues are starting to show. Baylor is also 6-7 against the spread on the road. The Longhorns come into this game 21-8, 7-3 in their last ten games played and are 16-2 in their home games in Austin this year while going 9-8-1 against the spread in those games. This will be a revenge game for the Longhorns, as Baylor won the first matchup in Waco by 17 points on Feb 12th.  A game that Texas only shot 33% from the field and was outrebounded 41-26. Look for the shooting to improve and the rebounding to even out in this one.  Texas ranks Top-20 in offensive two point percentage, FG%, and free throw percentage. Additionally, the Longhorns own a +17.8 point differential at home while the Bears have a +4.3 differential on the road this season.  With Baylor coming off a huge win at home vs Kansas and Texas just escaping with a win at West Virginia this weekend, this looks like an excellent situational play on the Longhorns.  Take Texas +1.5

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