Welcome into the Madness of March everybody!! I have decided to give out all of my plays out for FREE until Thursday (only at The Oddsbreakers!!). This gives everyone a sample of what to expect for this weekend, next week and the Big Dance! Today, I have 3 premium plays for you below as we cash on regular season matchups and the conference tourneys!! The next 3 weeks will be, arguably, the most exciting and profitable time of the year!!
Treat this week as a trial and sign up for my All Access March Madness Subscription at The OddsBreakers and get the number BEFORE it moves!
Best of luck if you tail!
The Toledo Rockets go on the road to Buffalo to take on the Bulls in a MACtion showdown Tuesday night. Buffalo has a 19-8 record with an against the spread record of 3-6 at home, 4-6 in their last ten games played and are also 7-12 against the spread as a favorite this season. The Rockets are 23-6 with a 8-2 record in their last ten games played, 12-7 against the spread while on the road and are 7-3 against the spread in their last ten games played. This could be a revenge spot for Buffalo, but I am not buying into it. Toledo is playing their best basketball of the season with a +19.7 point differential in their last three games played. The Toledo offense is currently scorching and have been shooting on average 48.4% on offense while holding their opponents to a 38.8% shooting percentage over their last five games played. The Toledo Rockets are packing their defense and bringing it with them on their travels to northwest New York and the Bulls vastly struggled in all aspects against this Toledo team in their last meeting, especially on offense. It is fair to assume that Buffalo is outmatched in their matchups with Toledo, take the hotter team and the higher percentages. Toledo matches Buffalo’s size and physicality. Take Toledo +2.5
The Gamecocks are hosting the Mizzou Tigers for some of the last bit of SEC conference play of the regular season. Mizzou is 10-19 this season with a 2-8 record in their last ten games played. The Tigers are also 5-17 as an underdog and are 4-9 against the spread as the visiting team. South Carolina is looking for a bounce back after their atrocious effort against Bama, the home Gamecocks are 17-11 this season and very much so on the bubble. SC is also 11-4 at home, 8-2 as a favorite, 11-5 against the spread at home and 7-3 against the spread when favored in their games this season. Mizzou holds a -15.5 point differential on the road over their last three games and have utterly given up on the season, this is a classic case of “Who has more to play for?”. South Carolina is an aggressive defense and ranks 5th in the SEC in terms of turnover percentage. Missouri comes into this game ranked towards the bottom in offensive turnover percentage at 328th nationally while the Gamecocks rank 5th in the SEC in TO% and will take advantage of quick points off breakaway steals (a stat that they rank 43rd nationally). You can expect SC to win and cover this game by approaching the game in a physical way and by creating havoc in transition off of turnovers and collected rebounds. South Carolina can easily win this game by 10+ at home. Take South Carolina -6.5
In potentially the game of the night, Purdue travels to the land of badgers to take on Wisconsin in a stout Big 10 matchup. Wisconsin is currently 23-5 this season with a 11-3 home record and are 16-12 against the spread overall with a 6-2 record against the spread as an underdog. This is the first time this season that the Badgers are an underdog on their home court as Purdue comes in looking for revenge. The Boilermakers are 24-5 this season while going 3-6-1 against the spread in their last ten games played, 12-15-1 against the spread as a favorite and are 4-6-1 against the spread as the road team. Wisconsin won at Purdue earlier this season but nothing in that box score says this outcome should be different in this one. Purdue dropped their last game at Michigan State on Saturday but the Boilermakers are only 1-3 ATS in their next game after a loss this season. The key to this game will be rebounding and second chance points and in the last matchup, it was Purdue with the slight 34-32 edge in rebounding while second chance points were an even 12-12. Home court advantage in Madison will only help the Badgers tonight and Wisconsin is currently the hotter team with a more well rounded defense than that of the Boilermakers squad. Take Wisconsin +3.5
Treat this week as a trial and sign up for my All Access March Madness Subscription at the OddsBreakers and get the number BEFORE it moves!