Houston vs LA Chargers -3.5 O/U 47.5
If there is one thing that I like about DeShawn Watson, it is that he is really never out of games. This Texans team has proven that they can play with the big boys when the almost beat the Saints win week 1. Now they are playing a banged up Chargers team with a bad home field advantage in LA. My power ratings have these teams pretty close to each other within a half point and when you look at the Chargers injuries on defense, you have to factor in that they will be scored upon. It’s a little early to talk efficiency but the Texans are a better team in overall DVOA up to this point and they are healthy. The Texans are 4-0-1 ATS (5.60 ppg) since Sep 30, 2018 as a dog.
Texans +3.5 – 2 star premium shared
Pittsburgh vs San Francisco -7 O/U – 44 points
San Francisco is flying high at 2-0 but what do we really know about this team? They beat Jamis Winston after he had 3 interceptions with Tampa Bay out-gaining them by 39 yards and they beat a bad Bengals team at home. Now San Francisco comes home to face a desperate Steelers team that has a decent back-up quarterback who may I add played college with one of their WRs James Washington at Oklahoma State. I am not a big Mike Tomlin guy but this team will rally when they are down. I honestly think this change could be a good thing for the Steelers and the fact that they traded for Minka Fitzpatrick shows that they are really trying here. Power ratings only has San Francisco favored by 4 points but I think they can win this one out. Gotta bet against 2 over reactions here.
Pittsburg +7 – 3 star premium shared play
Detroit Lions vs Philadelphia Eagles -6.5 O/U 46.5
Well the Lions haven’t lost yet. How about that!? Thank god for ties huh. NOT. Well anyways they are now back on the road to face a half way decent defense finally. The thing that really stands out to me here is game plan. Philadelphia is very injured on offense with their wide recievers out and their defensive tackles out. This tells me that they will run the ball a lot. It also tells me that Detroit should run the ball here now that they can penetrate the Eagles D line with Kerryon Johnson. Detroit already has a nice 60 rushing attempts and they know what kind of team that they are. This total feels a little bit high for this kind of game. The Eagles need this game to get back on track and the Lions could easily let down a bit here due to the fact that they beat a good Chargers team last week. Take the under 46.5
Under 46.5 – 2 star premium shared
Teaser alert: Bengals +6 to +12 and the Packers from -7.5 to -1.5
