Follow me
Twitter @TheCashmanwins https://twitter.com/TheCashManWins
Facebook https://www.facebook.com/CashmanSports/
7-3 last 10 picks posted here at The Oddsbreakers.com
Conference USA Championship
UAB at FAU Saturday 1:30 pm
Pick: FAU -6.5/-135 Medium (Bought 1 pt from -7.5)
Hard not to see FAU covering this at home. UAB has had a nice season, they play good defense #5 in the nation but they have beat up on some weaker teams and have struggled against teams who are just ahead of them offensively, mainly Tennessee and Southern Miss.
FAU started off the season with 2 very hard games vs UCF and at Ohio St, both big losses. Since then, they have covered -6.5 in 9 of 10 games.
There are 2 common opponents that were pretty good this year that stand out to me
Western KY
UAB 13
WKU 20
FAU 35
WKU 24
Southern Miss
UAB 2
USM 37
USM 17
FAU 34
UAB QB Johnston is questionable but I don’t think it would make much of a difference. FAU has the clear edge at QB and on offense in general. Johnston had a TD/INT ratio of 7/11 in his previous 5 games before his injury. FAU QB Robison threw for 3,100 yards and 22/5 TD/INT this season.
UAB struggled at home against a depleted LA Tech team and only scored a 20-14 win 2 weeks ago. They have less than 600 yards passing combined over the last 5 games.
FAU beat a pretty good USM team last week, convincingly, 34-17 and holding USM to 258 total yards. .
FAU is +10 in net turnovers in their last 4 games
Spencer Brown leads UAB in rushing yards but only gains 3.9 ypc. Malcolm Davidson leads FAU in rushing and averages 6.4 ypc
I think FAU very well could win this by double digits. I don’t see UAB being able to keep up on the road against this team.
