San Diego State vs Fresno State +6.5 O/U 127
San Diego State is for real this year mixing a great offense ranked 30th on Kenpom and defense ranked 16th. They beat the heck out of teams like Creighton, Iowa, and Utah State. Fresno State hasn’t done anything this year. They are 5-11 and rank 133rd on Kenpom. They have 0 wins over top 130 teams and now they will be without a key Forward in Nate Grimes. I really do not see how they can score points here even at home only ranking 182 in FG percentage. This should be more of a 10 point spread here in my opinion. I will take the short road favorite and lean to the under
San Diego State -6.5 – 2.5 star premium shared and lean under
VCU vs Dayton -8.5 O/U 138
This Handicap is really based on one player. Obi Toppin is the best player for Dayton and he rolled his ankle on Saturday. If he plays he will be limited. If it were up to me, I would sit him as a precaution. The spread only adjusted 1.5 points due to this injury. Toppin averages 20 points per game and the second scorer on Dayton averages just 13. Lots of D will be missed as well if he sits a lot this game. Lastly, VCU isn’t a bad team at all. Their only losses were mostly close games to top teams. They rank 51 on Kenpom and play some great defense. I will grab the value here hoping that Toppin sits.
VCU +8.5 – 2 star premium shared and sprinkle
