There is nothing like the game within the game when it comes sports. The legalization across the nation has really created a buzz around sports betting and what better of a game to target than the Super Bowl. As we all know, betting on sides and totals has always been a very fun thing to do to. Sports wagering brings interest in teams and games that one may otherwise would not consider watching. This in turn, helps spread the overall knowledge aspect of that sport, the enjoyment of investing in a game, as well as an opportunity to make money. Prop betting actually takes this entertainment one step further, where one can be bet on essential small outcomes within the game based on individual players, different ways that game will play out, and things that could happen during the event that may or may not have anything to do with the actual teams or game flow itself. Prop betting is the ultimate game within the game within the game and much more. It is just another opportunity to use your own research and come up with value within the game itself. The important thing to note is that many of these prop bets that the sports books offer are less likely to win which in turn gives a huge advantage to the bookies. This is why sports books love the big game so much. Many of ways to make money! As sports bettors, we have to be careful and make smart plays rather than popular plays. A sports investor must have a positive expected value (EV) within all of their plays in order remain profitable in the long run. If making a bet that has a negative EV it should be based on disposable income and just used for fun and long shots such as a power ball ticket purchase. In this article I am going to give out some free prop bets that mainly correspond to a positive EV according to my calculations that will hopefully put out some short term positive results to your bankroll.
If you like the 49ers then why not bet Jimmy G for MVP at +300 and half that bet for Mostert at +600? By doing this, you are essentially getting +225 on two different players.
Patrick Mahomes leads the Chiefs in rushing yards – 1.5 star premium shared +250
Tom Brady is Mentioned during the Superbowl – .5 star premium shared -220
Color of Gatorade dumped on coach Lime/Green/Yellow .5 star premium shared +275
Color of Gatorade dumped on coach clear .25 star premium shared +300
First score a San Francisco FG +423 – .5 star premium shared
First Score a Kansas City FG +370 – .5 star premium shared
First player to score a Touchdown Negative EV
- George Kittle +1000 – .5 star premium shared
- Travis Kelce +800 – .5 star premium shared
Patrick Mahomes over 30.5 rushing yards – .5 star premium shared (-128)
Jimmy Garoppolo 2nd half passing yards greater than 1st – 1 star premium shared (-130)
Raheem Mostert over 13.5 Receiving yards – .5 star premium shared (-109)
Raheem Mostert over 1.5 Catches – .5 star premium shared (-125) – Kansas City’s Defense leads the league in over 950 receiving yards to a running back. They are 3rd in receptions to a running back at 100. Shanahan will see all this pregame and want to get speedy Mostert in space.
San Francisco total pass completions over 19.5 – .5 star premium shared (-115)
Negative EV personal prop – Tyrann Mathieu for MVP 50 – 1. .5 stars. This is not premium by any means but I like how he moves all over the field and has a chance to impact this game. Gonna most likely lose of course but if he can get a pick 6 and force a few fumbles, then who knows
