Mississippi State vs Kentucky -5.5 O/U 140
Ok, so it is quite obvious that the zebras hate coach Cal and that will be something that has to be taken into account the rest of this year, but in this spot, I think this line is a bit too short. This game should be a big bounce back spot for the Cats. Mississippi State is what I would call a pretty good team and they won 5 of their last 6 games including at Florida but this is a spot where I think they come back to earth a bit. Kentucky is a team who can match up with anybody. They turn the volume up when needed and this is one of those spots where they need a nice performance. Kentucky scores their points inside the paint and we can tell that easily looking at their 3 point percentage. Mississippi State doesn’t do anything that great and they happen to have a poor defense down low only ranking 120th against 2 point shots. Kentucky’s main weakness is turning the ball over yet Mississippi State only ranks 182nd in adjusted defensive turnovers. I also like how Kentucky ranks 11th in free throws which is something that could be needed at the end of the game. Mississippi State hasn’t beaten anybody in the top 30 this year while Kentucky has beaten Michigan State, Louisville and Texas Tech. Take the Cats.
Kentucky -5.5 (-125) – 1 star premium shared
Ohio State vs Michigan -2.5 O/U 136
These 2 teams are going in opposite directions. Michigan really pulled it together their last 2 games getting Livers back who was a key to their offense. Ohio State just lost their 3rd best scorer in DJ Carton for personal reasons and going on the road without him won’t be good. The Buckeye’s best weapon is Kaleb Wesson down low. He is a beast when he is on but Michigan’s John Teske is also a 7 foot beast and he should be able to slow Wesson down a bit. Ohio State’s slow pace of play actually works against them in this Michigan match-up because it give’s more rest to Michigan’s big guys and they will not be running as much. Michigan has owned this Match-up since early in 2018 and I think they will finally get of the schneid and get a much needed win at home which they haven’t seen since January 9th.
Michigan -2.5 – 2 star premium shared