Francis Ngannou-280 vs Jairzinho Rozenstruick +240 –
Looking at this fight, I like the value on Rozenstruick more than Ngannou. They are both big boys with great records who have absolutely no ground game. Even though there is value in the +240, I think that that there is a safer way of approaching this. If Ngannou wins I think that it will be before 1.5 rounds like his last 3 fights. If the fight goes past this then I think Jairzihno wins because Francis seems to run out of gas. In saying that, I don’t think that either of them get past the final round so I am going to take
Rozenstruick to win inside the distance at (+400) for 1 star and under 1.5 rounds at (-120) for 1 star. This way you can win both and/or be protected if Ngannou wins early.
Jeremy Stephens +195 vs Calvin Kattar -240
Cub Fan Danny talked about this one on the podcast. Kattar is the younger and more aggressive fighter here but laying -240 is a lot for a fight against an experienced opponent like Stephens. We think that there is a good chance Katter finishes Stephens inside the distance at a price of +230 and there is a smaller chance he wins in a decision at +140. Being said that, we are comfortable only profiting 40 cents on the dollar if it does go decision and taking a shot at the 1.3X with 2 plays rather than just laying the -240.
Kattar wins inside the distance at (+230) – 1 star and Kattar wins by decision (+140 )for 1 star
Greg Hardy -205 vs Yorgan De Castro +175
Another big fight with the heavy weight heavy hitters. Greg Hardy was a football player and now has had a great start in the UFC. He is 5-2-1 and is not afraid to face anyone. Yorgan De Castro has had a great start himself going 6-0 so far. This is another one of those fights that you would think can go either way but Hardy has the size and reach advantage this the -205. I think that I like the + money on Yorgan being that he has one advantage to Hardy and that is a semblance of a ground game. I don’t mind taking a small shot here once again at the + money
Yorgan De Castro +175 – 1 star
