Memphis vs SMU +2.5 O/U 74.5
– Memphis is a good amount better than SMU in my opinion and that was obvious last year as well. Both teams return their quarterbacks this year but Memphis returns more defense at 77% returning production to SMU’s 53% production. The Tigers only have 1 game on their belt vs Arkansas State where they pretty much handled them easily. SMU has played 3 games but those games were against some very easy opponents in North Texas, Texas State early and an FCS team in Stephen F Austin. Last year, the Mustang’s had only a .38 positive net yards per play while Memphis had a positive 1.48. I don’t think this game is close and I think Memphis blows this team out.
Memphis -1.5 -2 star premium shared play
TCU vs Texas -13 O/U 63
– Well well well. Texas is a huge double digit home favorite here vs a TCU team who only lost to Iowa State last week by 3 points. TCU played 2 quarterback’s last week but Max Duggan proved to be the better option with 3 Tds and 1 interception. Duggan was held out the first half due to a heart condition and the coaches wanted to ease him back into the year. Well, he’s back. TCU might have beaten Iowa State had he played the whole game. Texas on the other hand proved that they still don’t have a great defense allowing 56 points to Texas Tech, going to overtime and almost blowing this game. Tech by the way played poorly against an FCS team the week before. It’s hard to get a great Idea on what Texas really is as of yet this year with such a small sample size but one thing for sure is that they did give up more passing yards vs Tech than they had passing themselves. Texas is a team that can’t help but throw the ball even though it appears that TCU’s weakness is against the run. TCU did struggle to run the ball last week but they will get their stud RB back in Zach Evans this week who was out due to Covid protocol. My power rating number on this game is Texas -9 but factor in the overtime last week and of course factor in the monster look ahead spot that they have to Oklahoma next week, you have to bring that number down to around -6.5. I am taking the TCU dog here and I like it also on the money line.
TCU +13 – 2 star premium shared play and sprinkle
East Carolina vs Georgia State -1.5 O/U 69
– East Carolina is coming off of a loss to UCF but one that they were at least able to put up 28 points. They return 87% of their offense this year which is a good thing because they averaged 5.78 yards per play and 27 points per game in a tough conference. Their defense was their bad spot. Georgia State was able to score against Louisiana which shocked a lot of people after Louisiana held Iowa State to only 14 points. Georgia State gave up 36 points per game last year with 6 of those starters returning. They also ranked 124th giving up over 499 yards per game. Both of these teams play fast. Georgia State in 2019 ranked 12th in plays per game at 78 and East Carolina ranked 22nd at 75. I don’t see how this game stays under the total of 69 and I am going over.
East Carolina vs Georgia State over 69 – 3 star premium shared
