College Football Week 11 Free Plays

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LOS ANGELES, CA - NOVEMBER 23: Quarterback Kedon Slovis #9 of the USC Trojans passes the ball in the first half of the game against the UCLA Bruins at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum on November 23, 2019 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Jayne Kamin-Oncea/Getty Images)

USC vs Arizona +14 O/U 67.5 –

USC really got a scare against ASU and could have lost that game ASU got into field goal range.   I think that they walk into this game vs Arizona trying to make more of a comfortable game.   There is no better opponent for USC to face than a Kevin Sumlin led Arizona team that has a ton of new faces .  Sumlin to me is one of the worst coaches in college football and to add to that, Arizona allowed 6.4 yards per place last year and I can’t see any initial improvement there.   This team ranked 120th out of 130 teams allowing 471 yards per game.   On offense, Grant Gunnell comes back who was 14-11 TD to turnover ratio and 60% passing success.  He loses 3 out of 4 skill positions to start the 2020 season.   Last week their game vs Utah was cancelled due to Covid so they are really thrown off here having to go face the top ranked team in the Pac 12 right off of that bat.  My power ratings have USC an 18 point favorite here and I think they win this one comfortably.

USC -14 – 2 star premium shared

Florida State vs NC State -9.5 O/U 60 – 

A couple of things stand out to me this game.  First of all, this spread seems kinda low and maybe it’s because NC State has been playing with their backup quarterback.   Well looking at their backup Baily Hockman, he has been serviceable so far and played quite well vs Miami last week.   He helped beat Duke by double digits a few weeks back as well.  Florida State’s quarterback Jordan Travis has been pretty bad with a 4-5 TD to interception ratio at only 52% completion percentage.  He is also questionable to even play this week.  The biggest thing for me here is that although NC State is -.2 yard per play, Florida State is a -1.6 yards per play and it doesn’t look like that will improve any time soon.  The Seminoles have played 3 away game they have lost all of them by more than 2 touchdowns.  Gonna take the Wolfpack here to cover the 7.

NC State -9.5 – 3 star premium shared 

Listener Request Zack Dean – Army vs Tulane -4 O/U 48 – 

This spread stuck right out to me like a sore thumb when I saw it.  I waited in hopes that it would go down closer to 3 but when it literally didn’t move, I realized I better hit this early.  Tulane has been improving throughout the year.  They took care of East Carolina on the road last week and have really figured out their offense.  Their only weakness is on defense against the pass but they should not have to worry about that when facing a triple option team like Army.  Ya see, Tulane already faced an option team this year in Navy and they completely shut down the option for the first half of the game.  During the second half, Navy switched quarterbacks and ended up beating Tulane but it was through the air that made that happen.  Tulane has a fantastic rushing defense only allows 3.04 rushing yards per per play and I expect much of the same against their second option opponent this year.  I think Army gets stuffed and this is definitely my favorite play of the week.

Tulane -4 – 3.5 star premium shared play – 

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Kiev O'Neil: 20+ years of sports betting experience. Podcast host since 2017. College Football since 2019 412-367-27 UP 58.7U NFL since 2018 249-228-16 up 40U UFC since 2019 82-74-5 up 34.1U I do not necessarily look at myself as being a so called “sharp” sports bettor. Instead I like to think of myself as a great compiler of information who specializes in the Big 10, but also handicaps all NFL, NCAA football, UFC, Basketball, Horse Racing and more! I encourage people to specialize in a conference or division that will help give them the greatest edge in their sports wagers. I am never against a person betting against their favorite teams when the situation is right.