NFL Week 14 Free Plays, Teaser and Parlay

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Arizona vs New York Giants +2.5 O/U 
This game is an interesting one.  The Cardinals have been free falling down the standings since that amazing catch and game winner vs the Bills.   I think that when this happens, it is the perfect time to buy on a team.  The Giants are in the exact opposite position winning their last 4 games in a row.  Just 1 of those teams has a winning record and its time for the fade train.  Starting with my power ratings, I have the Cardinals still 6 points better on a neutral field and I do not think that we can give the Giants much of a home field advantage here.  As far as yards per play, Arizona has a net .8 yards per play advantage.   Being that Colt McCoy most likely to be the starting quarterback for the Giants here, I like AZ.
Arizona -2.5 – 2.5 star premium shared play
Houston vs Chicago PK O/U 45
I just saw a trend on Killer sports about the Chicago bears and game totals.   Since 2005 when the Bears have had less than 14 days of rest, the line is less than +3, they were not a +2 or larger dog the previous game, their time of possession is greater than 24 minutes and they face a team that gets more than 64% of their first downs from the pass.  The Bears are 32-0 to the OVER.   Now I like killer sports and everything but sometimes I think they go a little to far with these situations.   Albeit all that, I still like the over in this game.   The Bears are a desparate team and they are throwing the ball all over the place meaning they are prone for turnovers and possibly some big scores.  Now we know that Houston has a very good offense being top 3 in yards per play at 6.3.  Their defense is bottom 4 at 6 yards per play.  The Bears are a dismal 4.8 yards per play on offense but they are at home and I expect some points to be scores.   They also don’t have that great defense allowing an average 5.4 yards per play.  In the Bears last 5 games, they have allowed an average of 28.8 points per game and I think that the Texans will score in the 20s for sure if not more than that.
Bears vs Houston over 45 – 2 star premium shared play

Refuse to lose 6pt teaser – 7-6 for the year:  Packers to 1.5 with Tampa Bay to .5 – Packers have been on fire for teasers and the Bucs coming off the bye.

Bow to the gambling gods parlay 2-9 this year Pays 24-1.  LAST ONE OF THE FOOTBALL SEASON – ALL NCAA SPREADS:  Illinois +14.5-110, Wake Forest, +2-110, West Virginia +14-110, Baylor +4.5 -110, Arkansas +31.5 -110

 

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Kiev O'Neil: 20+ years of sports betting experience. Podcast host since 2017. College Football since 2019 412-367-27 UP 58.7U NFL since 2018 249-228-16 up 40U UFC since 2019 82-74-5 up 34.1U I do not necessarily look at myself as being a so called “sharp” sports bettor. Instead I like to think of myself as a great compiler of information who specializes in the Big 10, but also handicaps all NFL, NCAA football, UFC, Basketball, Horse Racing and more! I encourage people to specialize in a conference or division that will help give them the greatest edge in their sports wagers. I am never against a person betting against their favorite teams when the situation is right.