Tampa Bay vs Atlanta +6 O/U 50.5
Something is wrong with Tampa and I do not love the way that they are playing. Had the Vikings hit some of those 4 missed FGs last week they might have lost the game out-right. Atlanta on the other hand has been playing well for a team dead in the water. They do not like Tampa and will try and spoil their fun. Julio Jones was a big missing piece to this falcons team last week and he should be back for this big game. The Falcon’s have been a pretty good buy team lately at home. Their last 3 home games, they won 2 outright and was in the Saints game until the end. They covered all three of those games. Tampa Bay has not been great as of late losing to the Rams, Chiefs and last week they should have lost that Vikings game being outgained in yards. I think the Vita Vea injury has hurt their run defense some and the Falcons should be able to move the ball being that Tampa is very weak in the air allowing 250 passing yards per game. The Falcons love to play spoiler and they might get the W here at home.
Falcons +6 – 2 star premium shared and sprinkle
Chiefs vs Saints +3 O/U 51.5 –
This is a great game coming up and it should be the highlight of your Sunday. The biggest question in this game is if Drew Brees plays. He has a shot and if he does, this total will go up. I think it is a smart play to grab this over for a few reasons. Both teams play a faster tempo ranking in the top 10 for starters. Number 2, the Chief’s only real weakness is against the run allowing 4.7 yards per carry. The Saints may be the best running team with Kamara and they will get 24+ points. And number 3, I don’t care how good the Saints defense is. Kansas City’s offense is really something else and can’t be stopped. They have never had to really shift it in high gear yet and they may have to in this matchup. Lastly, KC averages 31 points per game which is number 2 behind the Packers and New Orleans averages 28.3 points per game which is number 7. Many of those points was without Michael Thomas. If Brees does comes back, then you will have some good line value here. This game feels like when the Packers came to town and won 37-30.
Over 51.5 – 2 star premium shared play
Refuse to lose teaser is 8-6 this year so far: Tease the Colts to -1 with the Titans to -5. I don’t see how the Lions are going to do well here especially without Matt Stafford. – 2 Star Premium Shared Play
