Wisconsin vs Michigan -3.5 O/U 134
These 2 teams I think are both a bit over-rated ranking 5 and 7 on Kenpom but to be honest, there isn’t a lot of flawed teams on Kenpom. Wisconsin is ranked higher than Michigan on Kenpom but the market seems to like Michigan for a few reasons. A) They are at home and B) They are undefeated. I think the important question to ask is who have they played? As a matter of fact, Michigan hasn’t played a top 31 team this whole year and they were fortunate enough to play the easiest Big 10 teams. Wisconsin has 2 losses this year but at least they beat teams like Louisville and Michigan State on the road. Wisconsin is one of the most experienced teams in basketball while Michigan’s leading scorer is only a Freshman and he will be facing some seniors. Wisconsin is 6-4-1 as an away dog since 2019 and I think this spread is too big. The Badgers will feel disrespected coming into Ann Harbor. Take Sconnie
Wisconsin +3.5 – 2 star premium shared
Duke vs Virginia Tech +1 O/U 142
This will be a nice ACC matchup tonight and I am excited for this game. Duke isn’t the team that they used to be over the years and they had some bad luck with Jaylon Johnson out their last 3 games but he might come back tonight and is questionable. When I look at this line, I think that it is derived directly from Kenpom who started Duke too high in the rankings this year and the market still hasn’t caught up. Duke’s 2 losses come from the Big 10 in Michigan State and Illinois and neither game was really that close. Duke’s best win is vs number 89 Notre Dame and they struggled vs bottom of the barrel ACC teams at home since then. Virginia Tech has some nice wins vs Villanova and Clemson and has performed better than expectations with only 1 stinker vs Penn State. Virginia tech has beaten Duke outright 3 of the last 4 years at home. I think they will continue this trend and win this game, and if Jaylen Johnson doesn’t play, it’s a bonus to this handicap.
Virginia Tech +1 – 2 star premium shared
