College Basketball Saturday Super plays – Sports Betting

Virginia vs Duke .2 O/U 132

Duke has been playing very good lately blowing out a few teams on the road.  Something has definitely clicked with them recently shooting 54% against Wake Forest and 50% from 3 point land against Wake.   Now Duke will be stepping up in competition vs Virginia who is coming off of a bad loss at Florida State.  Virginia is that same team who plays slow and great defense while Duke this year has been quite inconsistent and very sloppy with the Ball.   Here is how I see this match up.   Duke ranks 4th in conference effective FG% at 54.3% while Virginia ranks 2nd at 54.6%.   Duke ranks 10th in conference defensive efficiency at 105.2% while Virginia ranks 2nd at 97.6%.  Duke is the better rebounding team at 36 boards per game to 31.5 for Virginia.   Virginia ranks better at assist to turnover ratio at 1.5 to Duke’s 1.2.  Duke’s free throws are also a crutch for them at 71% to Virginia’s 79%.   I think that this will be a great game and probably a close one but I have to favor Virginia in this spot.  I have Virginia winning this game 67-64.

Arizona vs USC -7 O/U 139.5

This USC team has really been trending up lately.   The Trojans have won by double digits their last 4 games and they are the second tallest team according to kenpom in the whole league.  The Trojans really do not have any weaknesses and they have been playing some great defense lately.  The Trojans are quietly 14-7 ATS which is pretty darn good.  They will be dancing in March.  Arizona is a pretty good team themselves but they are actually on the bubble due to a very easy non-conference and they have lost 4 of their last 5 games.   Part of that reason is the bad wildcat defense allowing 49.3 effective FG%.   One thing that I do know is that Arizona’s offense is still rated high at 19th on Kenpom and they have to be desperate here.    One thing that I noticed is that Arizona plays a bit faster than their tempo shows.  They rank 201st in adjusted tempo but 105th in seconds per possession.  I have the Wildcat’s winning this game 78-69 so the over or the side might be  a play for me.

Over 139.5 – 2.5 stars

Seton Hall vs Georgetown +4.5 O/U 141.5

Seton hall has been on a nice run but teams have had some bad 3 point luck against them.   Seton hall ranks 264th in defending the 3 all year allowing 36.1% shooting but their last 3 games, teams have only averaged 21.3%!!  Georgetown has some nice recent wins vs Creighton and Providence.   I like how Georgetown shoots the 3 at 35.8% and I like how they are a home dog there.

Georgetown +4.5 – 2 star premium and sprinkle