MLB 4/17/21 Saturday Super Plays – Sports Betting

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Detroit vs Oakland -125 O/U 9

This play for me is all about taking a shot with a young Pitcher.  Casey Mize made his debut last year pitching for the Tigers and his numbers were not great at a 6.47 FIP over 28 innings.   This year however, he has 11 innings behind his belt with a nice 2.87 FIP.   When Mize pitched in the minors he lit it up in 2019 with great numbers.  I think that it could be his year.   Cole Irvin is pitching for Oakland and he has been getting shelled so far.  I do not trust Detroit’s bad Bullpen but I think that they could be leading after 5

Detroit 1st 5 +115 – 1.5 stars

NY Mets vs Colorado Rockies (1st game) +237 O/U 7

Jacob Degrom is pitching so we should probably be playing him right?   WROOOONG.  I am not saying that he isn’t one of the top 3 pitchers in baseball, but what I am saying is that anything can happen at Coors field and especially on only 7 short innings with this game priced like it is a full 9.  I think that this line is just mispriced in general.  Chi Chi Gonzalez is pitching for the Rockies and he has a half way decent 3.9 FIP and 3.6 ERA going this year.  If the Mets are caught sleeping here, the Rockies could possibly steal this first game.  I just think this price is a bit too big for a home dog and the Rockies should be priced around +190 ish over 7 innings.   I’ll take a shot here as well.

Rockies +237 – 1.5 stars

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Kiev O'Neil: 20+ years of sports betting experience. Podcast host since 2017. College Football since 2019 412-367-27 UP 58.7U NFL since 2018 249-228-16 up 40U UFC since 2019 82-74-5 up 34.1U I do not necessarily look at myself as being a so called “sharp” sports bettor. Instead I like to think of myself as a great compiler of information who specializes in the Big 10, but also handicaps all NFL, NCAA football, UFC, Basketball, Horse Racing and more! I encourage people to specialize in a conference or division that will help give them the greatest edge in their sports wagers. I am never against a person betting against their favorite teams when the situation is right.