Kansas City vs Minnesota -193 O/U 8.5
I hope your Bloodies are treating you well after yesterday’s Kentucky Derby! One thing that you might be wondering here is why are the 16-9 Royals this big of dogs to the 9-16 Twins? This game features one of the best pitchers in baseball in Jose Berrios. Jose is sporting a 2.23 FIP after 25 innings this year putting him in early contention for at least an all-star appearance. Kansas City has Brad Keller at the helm who has started off quite rough having a 5.09 FIP over 18 miserable innings. Both bullpens have been pretty equal but Minnesota is the better hitting team ranking 9th in WRC+ to Kansas City’s 14th. There is a little more to this handicap. Minnesota needs this 3 game series against a division opponent badly and Kansas City is a big regression candidate ranking number 2 in LOB% and number 6 in batting average with RISP. Minnesota leads the Royals in batting average, on base percentage and slugging. Kansas City has been quite lucky thus far. Grabbing the ML and the Run Line here.
Minnesota -193 – 1.5 stars
Minnesota -1.5 -103 – 1.5 stars
Baltimore vs Oakland -195 O/U 8.5
Baltimore has been on a nice tear here winning their last 3 games in a row and 5 out of their last 7 but all good things must come to an end. This is a daytime game with the wind blowing out to left center. Both pitchers are lefties. Oakland has their stud pitcher Manaea with a 3.23 FIP going against Bruce Zimmerman who shouldn’t even be a starter. He is 1-3 so far with a 5.7 FIP. Both are lefties. Baltimore ranks 10th in the league batting against lefties with a nice .325 wOBA. Baltimore isn’t terrible against lefties with a .309 wOBA. The wind is blowing out yet there is money coming in on the under. I think it is because Baltimore ranks only 27th in WRC+ and Manaea is such a good pitcher. I think with the wind blowing out at 12 MPH, the safest play here is the Oakland team total over 4.5.
Oakland TT over 4.5 -120 – 2 stars
