The PGA Championship Preview & Picks

We have one of the deepest fields for the second major of the year, the PGA Championship. This years PGA Championship takes place on the Kiawah Island Ocean Course designed by Pete Dye. The course is the longest in major championship history and should provide a challenge for the players this week, specifically the short hitters. Even though we have 156 players in the field, only 20-30 have an actual shot of winning here given the skillset needed to succeed. The PGA Championship was last held here back in 2012.

Tournament Information:

• Dates: May 20, 2021- May 23, 2021
• Location: Kiawah Island, South Carolina, USA
• Course: Kiawah Island Ocean Course
• Par: 72
• Length: 7,876 yards
• Stroke Index (2012): 74.57
• Field/ Cut: 156 Players / Top 70 & Ties Make the Cut
• Greens/ Fairways: Paspalum
• Previous Winner (2020): Collin Morikawa

Key Statistics:

• Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee
• SG: Approach
• SG: Around-the-Green
• Par 4 Efficiency: 450-500 Yards
• Fairways Gained
• Bogey Avoidance

Picks (Outright):

• Viktor Hovland (+2200 – FanDuel)
  • Risk: 0.35 to win 7.7
    • 4th in SG: OTT, 1st in Scoring Average, Great recent form in the last 2 tournaments

• Collin Morikawa (+3300 – Bet365)
  • Risk: 0.2 to win 6.6
    • 1st in SG: Approach to Green, Great iron striker, 9th in Hit Fairways %

• Daniel Berger (+3300 – PointsBet)
  • Risk 0.2 to win 6.6
    • 6th in Bogey Avoidance, Solid distance and accuracy, Good SG: OTT and Approach

• Abraham Ancer (+5000 – DraftKings)
  • Risk: 0.15 to win 7.5
    • Good SG: OTT and Approach, Great in Hit Fairway % and Bogey Avoidance

• Joaquin Niemann (+7000 – PointsBet)
  • Risk: 0.1 to win 7
    • Good SG: OTT, Solid Hit Fairway %, Great in Scoring Average

Total Risk on Outrights: 1 Unit

Picks (Matchups):

• Brooks Koepka over Dustin Johnson (+160)
  • Risk: 0.5 to win 0.8
• Max Homa over Sam Burns (+140)
  • Risk: 0.5 to win 0.7
• Patrick Reed over Patrick Cantlay (-110)
  • Risk: Risk 1.1 to win 1

Total Risk on Matchups: 2.1 Units

Total Risk on PGA Championship: 3.1 Units

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