SAN DIEGO PADRES vs MILWAUKEE BREWERS
The starters in this on are both having career years with Joe Musgrove going for the Pads and Corbin Burnes getting the nod for the Brew Crew. Both of these guys post below 2.50 ERAs and below 1 WHIPs. This has low score written all over it. However, San Diego ranks 7th in wOBA against righties and has a top 3 bullpen. The Brewers struggle to get the offense going against good pitchers and they are only averaging 3.57 runs at home this season.
THE PICK – take the Padres ML at plus money!
KANSAS CITY ROYALS vs TAMPA BAY RAYS
Youth vs Vet. 25 year old Brad Keller gets the start for the Royals and ageless Rich Hill gets the nod for the Rays. You could compare Hill to fine wine as he has gotten better with age. He comes into this one owning a 3.89 ERA and an impressive 1.07 WHIP. On the other hand, Brad Keller has struggled a bit this season posting a 6.52 ERA and a 1.84 WHIP. In addition to the starters, Tampa Bay has a top 5 pen and have been HOT lately winning 11 straight while tearing the cover off the ball. That wont change tonight.
THE PICK – take the Rays on the Run Line!
TEXAS RANGERS vs LOS ANGELES ANGELS
33 year old rookie Hyun-jong Yang goes for the Rangers. Yes, I said 33 year old rookie. Yang owns a 3.38 ERA and a 1.17 on the year but has 1.50 WHIP away from Texas. Andrew Heaney gets the start for the Angels in this one posting a 6.50 ERA and 1.39 WHIP at home this season. When these pitchers give way to the bullpen, don’t expect the runs to stop as both pens rank in the bottom half of the league. On top of that, the Rangers are averaging 4.43 runs per game on the road while the Angels average 5 runs per game at home.
THE PICK – take the Over at 8.5